BallKnowMe MLB matchups, by the numbers

Pick Results — how the board's leans resolved, day by day
Track record · how often our leans hit
Hitters 66% 631/956 Winners 63% 22/35 HRR 51% 28/55 Overall 65% 681/1046
1046 graded leans since Jul 03, 2026 · every pick shows the model's read, the public's money, and the de-vigged Vegas line — you decide.
(Flat-betting every lean at the book's price runs -3.0% on the vig — we don't claim to beat it, we surface honest odds so you can.)
Tonight's board is locked. It froze at 11 AM ET and doesn't change for the rest of the day — 1/15 games final, the rest still in play. If a pick's player is scratched or sits, it voids (gray) — it never counts as a loss.
Tonight — tick to build your slip Winners 1/1· 1 priced +13 ctx Hitters 3/3+41.1% +1.2u HRR 1/1· 1 priced Day +47.0% +2.4u context NRFI 1/1 F5 0/1 Spreads 0/1 Total 1/1
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
IP Yankees 64% -178
✓ Tigers 63% -184
ctx · D-backs 57% -130
ctx IP Braves 62% -126
ctx IP Red Sox 62% -184
ctx IP Cubs 58% -156
ctx IP Dodgers 54% -140
ctx IP Brewers 61% -190
ctx IP Twins 51% -124
ctx · Padres 57% -126
ctx · Mariners 54% -134
ctx IP Cardinals 56% +100
ctx IP Rays 57% -134
ctx IP Blue Jays 59% -148
ctx IP Nationals 62% -124
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✓ ★ Kevin McGonigle 82% -300
IP ★ Junior Caminero 82% -233
✓ ★ Riley Greene 81% -250
IP ★ Drake Baldwin 81% -210
IP ★ Brett Bateman 81% -219
IP ★ Pete Crow-Armstrong 72% -210
IP ★ Luis Arraez 79% -261
· ★ Josh Naylor 78% -215
IP ★ Isaac Paredes 71% -170
✓ ★ Max Clark 77% -200
IP ★ Sam Antonacci 71% -250
· ★ Gabriel Moreno 77% -236
IP ★ Ryan Jeffers 69% -185
IP ★ Keibert Ruiz 79% -210
IP ★ Elly De La Cruz 79% -167
· ★ Julio Rodríguez 75% -240
· ★ Fernando Tatis Jr. 74% -295
IP ★ Rafael Flores 68% -155
IP ★ Zach Neto 76% -220
IP ★ Sal Stewart 76% -177
· ★ Cole Young 72% -185
IP ★ Jackson Chourio 75% -260
IP ★ Luis García Jr. 71% -202
IP ★ Cody Bellinger 71% -201
IP ★ Nick Gonzales 80% -180
IP ★ Nick Sogard 71% -169
IP ★ Oneil Cruz 77% -150
IP ★ Brandon Lowe 76% -146
· ★ Henry Bolte 71% -210
IP ★ Seiya Suzuki 70% -161
IP ★ Spencer Horwitz 71%
· ★ Jeff McNeil 69% -235
IP ★ Mookie Betts 69% -225
IP ★ Yainer Diaz 72% -200
IP ★ Bryce Harper 70% -218
IP ★ Michael Massey 66% -130
IP ★ Ben Rice 69% -202
IP ★ Kazuma Okamoto 69% -190
IP ★ Victor Mesa Jr. 71% -179
IP ★ Nico Hoerner 71% -200
IP ★ Otto Lopez 74% -235
IP ★ Brice Turang 69% -190
IP ★ Jordan Walker 70% -220
IP ★ Alex Bregman 70% -172
IP ★ Wilyer Abreu 72% -215
IP ★ Christian Moore 68% -160
IP ★ Jose Altuve 70% -185
IP ★ Denzer Guzman 67% -160
· ★ Samad Taylor 71% -165
IP ★ Andrés Giménez 65% -146
· ★ Dominic Canzone 70% -215
IP ★ Adley Rutschman 68% -220
· ★ Nolan Arenado 67% -180
IP ★ Salvador Perez 66% -185
IP ★ Max Muncy 65% -180
· ★ Jackson Merrill 69% -250
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx IP BAL@TOR NRFI 53% -160
ctx IP CHW@STL YRFI 50% -110
ctx IP CIN@MIL NRFI 53% -130
ctx IP CLE@MIN NRFI 50% -125
ctx ✓ COL@DET YRFI 54% -110
ctx IP HOU@TB NRFI 52% -125
ctx IP KC@BOS NRFI 53% -140
ctx IP LAA@WSH YRFI 54% -120
ctx IP LAD@MIA YRFI 52% -105
ctx IP NYM@NYY NRFI 53% -135
ctx IP PHI@ATL YRFI 51% -140
ctx IP PIT@CHC YRFI 51% +110
ctx · SD@SF NRFI 50% -150
ctx · SEA@ATH NRFI 52% -105
ctx · TEX@ARI YRFI 53% -105
F5 O/U
ctx IP CHW@STL UNDER 4.5 -105
ctx IP CIN@MIL UNDER 4.5 +100
ctx ✗ COL@DET UNDER 4.5 -125
ctx IP HOU@TB UNDER 4.5 -125
ctx IP LAA@WSH UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx IP PHI@ATL OVER 4.5 -110
ctx · SEA@ATH OVER 4.5 -105
ctx · TEX@ARI OVER 4.5 -115
Game O/U
ctx ✓ COL@DET OVER 8.5 -128
ctx IP LAA@WSH OVER 9 -112
ctx IP NYM@NYY UNDER 7.5 -105
ctx IP PHI@ATL UNDER 9 +105
ctx IP BAL@TOR OVER 7.5 +105
ctx IP HOU@TB OVER 8 -103
ctx IP LAD@MIA OVER 8.5 -102
ctx IP CIN@MIL UNDER 8 -105
ctx IP PIT@CHC OVER 7 +100
ctx IP KC@BOS OVER 7.5 +101
ctx · SEA@ATH UNDER 9.5 -130
ctx · TEX@ARI UNDER 8 -102
ctx · SD@SF OVER 7.5 +100
ctx IP CLE@MIN OVER 8 -105
ctx IP CHW@STL OVER 8.5 -115
Model propsmodel outputs
H+R+RBI
IP Zach Neto OVER 1.5 -135
· Julio Rodríguez OVER 1.5 -140
✓ Kevin McGonigle OVER 1.5 -175
Run Line
ctx ✗ COL@DET AWAY 1.5 -130
ctx IP LAA@WSH AWAY 1.5 -185
ctx IP NYM@NYY AWAY 1.5 -144
ctx IP PHI@ATL AWAY 1.5 -182
ctx IP BAL@TOR AWAY 1.5 -170
ctx IP HOU@TB AWAY 1.5 -190
ctx IP LAD@MIA AWAY 1.5 -340
ctx IP PIT@CHC AWAY 1.5 -170
ctx IP KC@BOS AWAY 1.5 -142
ctx · SEA@ATH AWAY 1.5 -310
ctx · SD@SF AWAY 1.5 -330
ctx IP CIN@MIL AWAY 1.5 -130
ctx IP CLE@MIN AWAY 1.5 -195
ctx IP CHW@STL AWAY 1.5 -295
ctx · TEX@ARI AWAY 1.5 -188
Sat Sep 12 Winners 1/1· 1 priced Hitters 42/61+3.7% +2.3u HRR 6/7+47.6% +3.3u Day +9.0% +6.2u context Winners 8/12 NRFI 5/12 F5 6/11 Spreads 10/15 Total 4/13
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
✓ Brewers 64% -178
ctx ✗ D-backs 59% -130
ctx ✓ Braves 54% -134
ctx ✓ Red Sox 58% -215
ctx ✓ Cubs 60% -122
ctx ✓ White Sox 50% -104
ctx ✗ Guardians 54% -108
ctx ✗ Dodgers 58% -184
ctx ✗ Yankees 62% -164
ctx ✓ Mariners 55% -170
ctx ✓ Rays 58% -144
ctx ✓ Blue Jays 56% -125
ctx ✓ Nationals 56% -120
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✓ ★ Jackson Chourio 83% -290
✓ ★ Josh Naylor 78% -266
✓ ★ Wilyer Abreu 80% -270
✓ ★ Elly De La Cruz 77% -165
✓ ★ Cody Bellinger 80% -235
✗ ★ Oneil Cruz 73% -190
✗ ★ Aaron Judge 78% -216
✓ ★ Chandler Simpson 75% -220
✓ ★ Brice Turang 77% -214
✓ ★ Brett Bateman 81% -220
✓ ★ Otto Lopez 72% -186
✗ ★ Bo Bichette 76% -220
✓ ★ Yainer Diaz 72% -188
✓ ★ Mookie Betts 70% -230
✗ ★ Mike Trout 69% -175
✗ ★ Teoscar Hernández 69% -190
✓ ★ Juan Soto 74% -177
✓ ★ Isaac Paredes 72% -157
✗ ★ A.J. Ewing 72% -125
✓ ★ Spencer Jones 72% -160
✗ ★ Pete Crow-Armstrong 72% -250
✓ ★ Nico Hoerner 72% -220
✗ ★ Christian Moore 65% -150
✓ ★ Riley Greene 81% -243
✓ ★ Jose Altuve 71% -175
✓ ★ Caleb Durbin 75% -190
✓ ★ Gabriel Moreno 77% -217
✓ ★ Héctor Rodríguez 71% -118
✗ ★ Alec Burleson 72% -278
✓ ★ Brandon Lowe 71% -210
✗ ★ Konnor Griffin 71% -235
✓ ★ Alex Bregman 71% -190
✓ ★ Alejandro Kirk 71% -220
✓ ★ Steven Kwan 75% -250
✓ ★ Randy Arozarena 77% -330
✗ ★ Zach Neto 72% -225
✓ ★ Drake Baldwin 68% -201
✓ ★ Garrett Mitchell 70% -137
✗ ★ Corbin Carroll 71% -200
✓ ★ Nathan Lukes 69% -225
✗ ★ Yandy Díaz 76% -308
✗ ★ Brayan Rocchio 71% -160
✗ ★ Jarren Duran 73% -210
✓ ★ Vinnie Pasquantino 68% -200
✓ ★ Salvador Perez 68% -200
✓ ★ Michael Massey 68% -168
✗ ★ Nolan Arenado 68% -165
✗ ★ Luis Arraez 82% -278
✓ ★ James Wood 67% -181
✓ ★ Jonathan Aranda 71% -185
✓ ★ Pete Alonso 66% -210
✓ ★ Max Muncy 66% -170
✓ ★ Jung Hoo Lee 70% -210
✓ ★ Sal Stewart 75% -199
✓ ★ Sam Antonacci 71% -225
✗ ★ Bryce Eldridge 67% -165
✓ ★ Rafael Devers 67% -175
✗ ★ Joshua Baez 65% -150
✓ ★ Ildemaro Vargas 68% -175
✓ ★ Tristan Peters 66% -160
✓ ★ Henry Bolte 68% -248
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✗ BAL@TOR NRFI 56% -118
ctx ✓ CHW@STL NRFI 55% -120
ctx ✗ CIN@MIL NRFI 52% -120
ctx ✗ HOU@TB NRFI 51% -130
ctx ✓ KC@BOS NRFI 52% -120
ctx ✗ LAA@WSH NRFI 56% -125
ctx ✓ LAD@MIA YRFI 51% +100
ctx ✓ NYM@NYY YRFI 50% -105
ctx ✓ PHI@ATL YRFI 50% +100
ctx ✗ PIT@CHC NRFI 53% -110
ctx ✗ SEA@ATH NRFI 51% -105
ctx ✗ TEX@ARI YRFI 52% -110
F5 O/U
ctx ✗ BAL@TOR UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✗ CHW@STL UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✗ CIN@MIL UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✓ HOU@TB UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✗ KC@BOS OVER 4.5 -105
ctx ✓ LAA@WSH UNDER 4.5 -130
ctx ✓ LAD@MIA OVER 4.5 -125
ctx ✓ NYM@NYY OVER 4.5 -110
ctx ✓ PHI@ATL OVER 4.5 +100
ctx ✗ PIT@CHC OVER 4.5 -102
ctx ✓ TEX@ARI OVER 4.5 -118
Game O/U
ctx ✗ NYM@NYY UNDER 8 -105
ctx ✓ PIT@CHC UNDER 9 -102
ctx ✗ BAL@TOR UNDER 8.5 -114
ctx ✗ LAA@WSH UNDER 8 -105
ctx ✓ KC@BOS UNDER 8.5 -110
ctx ✗ LAD@MIA OVER 7.5 -124
ctx ✗ CLE@MIN OVER 8.5 +100
ctx ✗ HOU@TB OVER 7.5 -115
ctx ✗ CHW@STL UNDER 8.5 -110
ctx ✓ TEX@ARI UNDER 8.5 -105
ctx ✗ SEA@ATH UNDER 9.5 -110
ctx ✓ CIN@MIL OVER 8.5 +100
ctx ✗ PHI@ATL UNDER 8.5 -114
Model propsmodel outputs
H+R+RBI
✓ Randy Arozarena OVER 1.5 -189
✗ Zach Neto OVER 1.5 -125
✓ Jackson Chourio OVER 1.5 -158
✓ Riley Greene OVER 1.5 -137
✓ James Wood OVER 1.5 -119
✓ Gabriel Moreno OVER 1.5 -112
✓ Josh Naylor OVER 1.5 -141
Run Line
ctx ✗ COL@DET AWAY 1.5 -155
ctx ✓ NYM@NYY AWAY 1.5 -150
ctx ✓ PIT@CHC AWAY 1.5 -188
ctx ✗ BAL@TOR AWAY 1.5 -195
ctx ✓ LAA@WSH AWAY 1.5 -195
ctx ✓ SD@SF AWAY 1.5 -350
ctx ✗ KC@BOS AWAY 1.5 -110
ctx ✓ LAD@MIA AWAY 1.5 -480
ctx ✓ HOU@TB AWAY 1.5 -170
ctx ✗ PHI@ATL AWAY 1.5 -184
ctx ✓ CHW@STL AWAY 1.5 -220
ctx ✓ TEX@ARI AWAY 1.5 -190
ctx ✓ CLE@MIN AWAY 1.5 -220
ctx ✗ CIN@MIL AWAY 1.5 -130
ctx ✓ SEA@ATH AWAY 1.5 -400
Fri Sep 11 Winners 1/2· 2 priced Hitters 40/55+8.7% +4.8u HRR 2/4-21.7% -0.9u Day +5.6% +3.4u context Winners 10/13 NRFI 7/13 F5 8/11 Spreads 8/15 Total 7/14
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
✗ Red Sox 65% -200
✓ Brewers 63% -196
ctx ✓ D-backs 54% -112
ctx ✓ Braves 62% -187
ctx ✓ Cubs 58% -190
ctx ✗ White Sox 52% -112
ctx ✓ Guardians 54% -116
ctx ✓ Tigers 59% -184
ctx ✓ Dodgers 61% -190
ctx ✓ Yankees 60% -134
ctx ✓ Padres 56% -145
ctx ✗ Mariners 58% -160
ctx ✓ Rays 62% -170
ctx ✗ Blue Jays 51% -134
ctx ✓ Nationals 62% -150
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✓ ★ Luis Arraez 76% -213
✓ ★ Salvador Perez 69% -200
✗ ★ Pete Alonso 79% -200
✗ ★ Alejandro Kirk 78% -223
✓ ★ Jackson Chourio 78% -300
✗ ★ Iván Herrera 73% -200
✓ ★ Nathan Lukes 75% -220
✓ ★ Joshua Baez 69% -165
✗ ★ Elly De La Cruz 75% -185
✗ ★ Trea Turner 67% -182
✓ ★ Jake McCarthy 77% -235
✗ ★ Mookie Betts 78% -250
✗ ★ Bobby Witt Jr. 76% -264
✓ ★ William Contreras 74% -210
✗ ★ Nick Sogard 75% -159
✓ ★ Trevor Story 75% -220
✓ ★ Brice Turang 73% -170
✗ ★ Héctor Rodríguez 69% -150
✗ ★ Teoscar Hernández 78% -190
✓ ★ Steven Kwan 68% -235
✓ ★ Henry Bolte 75% -275
✓ ★ Gabriel Moreno 74% -275
✓ ★ Drake Baldwin 77% -210
✓ ★ Oneil Cruz 72% -140
✗ ★ Jung Hoo Lee 71% -210
✓ ★ Randy Arozarena 72% -300
✓ ★ Jonathan Aranda 65% -200
✓ ★ Caleb Durbin 71% -182
✓ ★ Alec Burleson 77% -208
✓ ★ Bryan Reynolds 70% -177
✓ ★ Pete Crow-Armstrong 70% -250
✗ ★ Zach Neto 70% -180
✓ ★ Nico Hoerner 69% -225
✓ ★ Jackson Merrill 68% -250
✓ ★ Rafael Devers 68% -185
✓ ★ Brett Bateman 85% -235
✓ ★ Dylan Crews 68% -200
✓ ★ Sal Stewart 72% -210
✓ ★ Cole Young 68% -212
✓ ★ Otto Lopez 81% -170
✗ ★ Wade Meckler 67% -186
✓ ★ Mike Trout 67% -160
✓ ★ Luis García Jr. 67% -211
✓ ★ Cody Bellinger 67% -190
✓ ★ Fernando Tatis Jr. 74% -381
✓ ★ Max Muncy 73% -170
✓ ★ Javier Sanoja 72% -185
✓ ★ Corbin Carroll 67% -210
✗ ★ Luke Keaschall 66% -195
✓ ★ Nathan Church 65% -120
✓ ★ Junior Caminero 66% -250
✓ ★ Travis Bazzana 65% -143
✗ ★ Brooks Lee 65% -159
✓ ★ Bryce Eldridge 67% -175
✓ ★ Ildemaro Vargas 65% -212
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✓ BAL@TOR YRFI 59% +110
ctx ✓ CHW@STL YRFI 50% -110
ctx ✓ CIN@MIL YRFI 52% +105
ctx ✗ CLE@MIN YRFI 50% +105
ctx ✓ COL@DET NRFI 50% -125
ctx ✓ KC@BOS YRFI 51% -110
ctx ✗ LAA@WSH NRFI 52% -130
ctx ✓ LAD@MIA NRFI 53% -145
ctx ✗ NYM@NYY NRFI 52% -135
ctx ✗ PHI@ATL NRFI 54% -135
ctx ✗ SD@SF NRFI 52% -135
ctx ✓ SEA@ATH YRFI 53% -135
ctx ✗ TEX@ARI YRFI 50% -115
F5 O/U
ctx ✗ BAL@TOR UNDER 4.5 -118
ctx ✗ CHW@STL UNDER 4.5 -115
ctx ✗ CIN@MIL UNDER 4.5 -105
ctx ✓ CLE@MIN UNDER 4.5 -115
ctx ✓ COL@DET UNDER 4.5 -130
ctx ✓ KC@BOS OVER 4.5 -115
ctx ✓ LAA@WSH UNDER 4.5 -105
ctx ✓ NYM@NYY OVER 4.5 -125
ctx ✓ PIT@CHC OVER 4.5 -105
ctx ✓ SD@SF OVER 4.5 +116
ctx ✓ TEX@ARI OVER 4.5 -102
Game O/U
ctx ✓ PIT@CHC OVER 8 -115
ctx P COL@DET OVER 8 +100
ctx ✗ LAA@WSH OVER 7.5 -114
ctx ✗ NYM@NYY UNDER 8 -105
ctx ✓ BAL@TOR OVER 8 -105
ctx ✗ HOU@TB OVER 7.5 -118
ctx ✓ KC@BOS UNDER 8.5 -105
ctx ✓ PHI@ATL OVER 7 -110
ctx ✓ CIN@MIL OVER 8 -105
ctx ✗ CLE@MIN OVER 7.5 -114
ctx ✓ CHW@STL OVER 8 -114
ctx ✗ SEA@ATH UNDER 10 -105
ctx ✗ SD@SF UNDER 8 -110
ctx ✓ TEX@ARI OVER 8.5 -115
ctx ✗ LAD@MIA UNDER 7.5 -110
Model propsmodel outputs
H+R+RBI
✓ Randy Arozarena OVER 1.5 -185
✗ Zach Neto OVER 1.5 -105
✓ Jackson Chourio OVER 1.5 -169
✗ Cole Young OVER 1.5 -124
Run Line
ctx ✗ COL@DET AWAY 1.5 -140
ctx ✓ LAA@WSH AWAY 1.5 -160
ctx ✗ NYM@NYY AWAY 1.5 -178
ctx ✓ BAL@TOR AWAY 1.5 -185
ctx ✗ HOU@TB AWAY 1.5 -145
ctx ✓ KC@BOS AWAY 1.5 -122
ctx ✓ PHI@ATL AWAY 1.5 -140
ctx ✗ CIN@MIL AWAY 1.5 -125
ctx ✗ PIT@CHC AWAY 1.5 -125
ctx ✓ LAD@MIA AWAY 1.5 -500
ctx ✓ CLE@MIN AWAY 1.5 -295
ctx ✗ CHW@STL AWAY 1.5 -265
ctx ✓ SEA@ATH AWAY 1.5 -390
ctx ✗ TEX@ARI AWAY 1.5 -205
ctx ✓ SD@SF AWAY 1.5 -360
Thu Sep 10 Winners 1/2· 2 priced Hitters 7/14-28.8% -4.0u HRR 1/1· 1 priced Day -24.0% -4.1u context Winners 2/3 NRFI 2/4 F5 3/3 Spreads 3/5 Total 3/5
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
✓ Yankees 68% -295
✗ Phillies 63% -184
ctx ✓ Braves 51% -118
ctx ✗ White Sox 58% -108
ctx ✓ Mariners 51% -126
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✓ ★ Luis Arraez 87% -250
✗ ★ Trea Turner 80% -202
✓ ★ Luis García Jr. 79% -286
✓ ★ Yandy Díaz 77% -340
✓ ★ Jake McCarthy 70% -205
✓ ★ Drake Baldwin 76% -230
✗ ★ Junior Caminero 73% -263
✗ ★ Sam Antonacci 69% -179
✗ ★ Josh Naylor 70% -165
✓ ★ Ben Rice 77% -265
✗ ★ Randy Arozarena 69% -155
✗ ★ T.J. Rumfield 69% -147
✓ ★ Isaac Paredes 65% -160
✗ ★ Tristan Peters 65% -135
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✗ COL@NYY NRFI 51% -115
ctx ✓ HOU@PHI NRFI 52% -120
ctx ✓ TB@ATL NRFI 51% -118
ctx ✗ TEX@SEA YRFI 53% +130
F5 O/U
ctx ✓ COL@NYY OVER 4.5 -118
ctx ✓ HOU@PHI UNDER 4.5 -115
ctx ✓ PIT@CHW UNDER 4.5 -140
Game O/U
ctx ✓ TB@ATL UNDER 8.5 -115
ctx ✗ HOU@PHI OVER 8.5 -110
ctx ✓ TEX@SEA OVER 6.5 -110
ctx ✓ COL@NYY OVER 8.5 +100
ctx ✗ PIT@CHW OVER 7.5 -118
Model propsmodel outputs
H+R+RBI
✓ Ben Rice OVER 1.5 -162
Run Line
ctx ✗ TB@ATL AWAY 1.5 -205
ctx ✓ HOU@PHI AWAY 1.5 -135
ctx ✓ TEX@SEA AWAY 1.5 -210
ctx ✗ COL@NYY AWAY 1.5 +110
ctx ✓ PIT@CHW AWAY 1.5 -260
Wed Sep 9 Winners 2/3-8.3% -0.2u Hitters 37/54+1.0% +0.6u HRR 0/2· 2 priced Day -2.9% -1.7u context Winners 4/11 NRFI 6/14 F5 5/13 Spreads 6/15 Total 7/14
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
✗ Red Sox 66% -215
✓ Yankees 66% -245
✓ Dodgers 66% -292
ctx ✗ Braves 52% -124
ctx ✗ White Sox 53% -130
ctx ✗ Guardians 51% -112
ctx ✓ Tigers 54% -117
ctx ✓ Royals 53% +108
ctx ✗ Marlins 58% -124
ctx ✓ Brewers 62% -130
ctx ✓ Phillies 59% -154
ctx ✗ Cardinals 55% -115
ctx ✗ Rangers 51% +132
ctx ✗ Blue Jays 58% -178
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✓ ★ Jake McCarthy 76% -232
✓ ★ Luis Arraez 82% -300
✓ ★ Jackson Chourio 79% -225
✓ ★ Brett Bateman 85% -305
✓ ★ Nick Sogard 74% -209
✗ ★ Alec Burleson 80% -265
✓ ★ Kevin McGonigle 77% -275
✓ ★ Alejandro Kirk 78% -346
✗ ★ Riley Greene 76% -219
✓ ★ Zach Neto 71% -230
✓ ★ Iván Herrera 76% -238
✓ ★ Mookie Betts 76% -260
✗ ★ Juan Soto 74% -247
✓ ★ Luis García Jr. 78% -270
✓ ★ Cody Bellinger 77% -240
✓ ★ Teoscar Hernández 75% -200
✗ ★ Kazuma Okamoto 75% -235
✗ ★ T.J. Rumfield 76% -165
✗ ★ Ben Rice 76% -290
✓ ★ Yandy Díaz 71% -305
✗ ★ Brice Turang 74% -160
✓ ★ Steven Kwan 73% -250
✓ ★ James Wood 74% -190
✓ ★ Trea Turner 74% -228
✓ ★ Nico Hoerner 71% -200
✓ ★ Joshua Baez 72% -148
✗ ★ Travis Bazzana 70% -175
✓ ★ Brandon Lowe 70% -182
✓ ★ Trevor Story 73% -220
✗ ★ Gabriel Moreno 72% -300
✗ ★ Jonathan Aranda 66% -202
✓ ★ Kyle Schwarber 71% -155
✓ ★ Mauricio Dubón 66% -210
✗ ★ Cole Carrigg 71% -195
✓ ★ Bo Bichette 76% -280
✗ ★ Brayan Rocchio 69% -160
✗ ★ Kaelen Culpepper 69% -162
✓ ★ Yainer Diaz 70% -185
✓ ★ Isaac Paredes 70% -165
✗ ★ Bryan Reynolds 69% -180
✓ ★ Elly De La Cruz 68% -146
✓ ★ A.J. Ewing 71% -200
✓ ★ Bryce Eldridge 68% -175
✓ ★ Mike Trout 69% -205
✓ ★ Ketel Marte 69% -275
✓ ★ Drake Baldwin 70% -190
✓ ★ Pete Crow-Armstrong 72% -195
✓ ★ Dylan Crews 67% -134
✗ ★ Christian Walker 66% -150
✓ ★ Oneil Cruz 70% -155
✓ ★ Henry Bolte 65% -210
✓ ★ Junior Caminero 66% -282
✗ ★ Vinnie Pasquantino 66% -220
✗ ★ Salvador Perez 66% -209
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✗ ARI@KC YRFI 57% -117
ctx ✗ CHC@MIL NRFI 52% -135
ctx ✗ CIN@LAD YRFI 51% -110
ctx ✗ CLE@BAL NRFI 50% -115
ctx ✗ COL@NYY YRFI 53% -125
ctx ✓ HOU@PHI NRFI 52% -130
ctx ✓ LAA@BOS NRFI 53% -102
ctx ✗ MIN@DET NRFI 51% -120
ctx ✓ NYM@MIA NRFI 50% -110
ctx ✓ PIT@CHW NRFI 52% -105
ctx ✓ STL@SF YRFI 54% -110
ctx ✗ TB@ATL YRFI 55% -110
ctx ✓ TEX@SEA NRFI 51% -135
ctx ✗ TOR@ATH YRFI 51% -130
F5 O/U
ctx ✓ ARI@KC OVER 4.5 -102
ctx ✗ CHC@MIL UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✓ CIN@LAD OVER 4.5 -114
ctx ✓ CLE@BAL OVER 4.5 -125
ctx ✓ COL@NYY OVER 4.5 -118
ctx ✗ HOU@PHI UNDER 4.5 +100
ctx ✗ LAA@BOS UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✓ MIN@DET OVER 4.5 -125
ctx ✗ NYM@MIA UNDER 4.5 -118
ctx ✗ PIT@CHW OVER 4.5 -118
ctx ✗ STL@SF UNDER 4.5 -118
ctx ✗ TB@ATL UNDER 4.5 -105
ctx ✗ TEX@SEA OVER 4.5 +100
Game O/U
ctx ✓ MIN@DET OVER 8.5 -110
ctx ✓ TOR@ATH UNDER 9.5 -115
ctx ✓ STL@SF OVER 8.5 -102
ctx ✓ TEX@SEA UNDER 8 -113
ctx ✗ CLE@BAL UNDER 8.5 +100
ctx ✗ HOU@PHI UNDER 8 -106
ctx ✗ NYM@MIA UNDER 8.5 +105
ctx ✗ LAA@BOS UNDER 9 +100
ctx ✗ COL@NYY OVER 9 -110
ctx ✗ ARI@KC OVER 8.5 -120
ctx ✓ CHC@MIL OVER 7.5 -110
ctx ✓ PIT@CHW UNDER 8.5 +105
ctx ✓ CIN@LAD OVER 8.5 -110
ctx ✗ TB@ATL UNDER 8 -105
Model propsmodel outputs
H+R+RBI
✗ Ben Rice OVER 1.5 -180
✗ Kazuma Okamoto OVER 1.5 -145
Run Line
ctx ✗ MIN@DET AWAY 1.5 -195
ctx ✓ STL@SF AWAY 1.5 -280
ctx ✗ WSH@SD AWAY 1.5 -135
ctx ✓ TEX@SEA AWAY 1.5 -165
ctx ✗ CLE@BAL AWAY 1.5 -215
ctx ✗ HOU@PHI AWAY 1.5 -152
ctx ✓ NYM@MIA AWAY 1.5 -190
ctx ✓ LAA@BOS AWAY 1.5 -110
ctx ✗ COL@NYY AWAY 1.5 -102
ctx ✓ TB@ATL AWAY 1.5 -195
ctx ✗ CHC@MIL AWAY 1.5 -190
ctx ✓ PIT@CHW AWAY 1.5 -175
ctx ✗ CIN@LAD AWAY 1.5 +112
ctx ✗ TOR@ATH AWAY 1.5 -410
ctx ✗ ARI@KC AWAY 1.5 -265
Tue Sep 8 Winners 3/4+1.9% +0.1u Hitters 38/57-0.2% -0.1u HRR 1/4-61.3% -2.5u Day -3.8% -2.5u context Winners 3/10 NRFI 3/13 F5 5/12 Spreads 15/15 Total 4/14
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
✓ Yankees 69% -350
✓ Dodgers 65% -320
✓ Brewers 64% -210
✗ Red Sox 63% -136
ctx ✗ Braves 51% -111
ctx ✗ Orioles 52% -120
ctx ✗ White Sox 59% -138
ctx ✗ Tigers 57% -130
ctx ✗ Marlins 60% -121
ctx ✗ Phillies 51% -130
ctx ✓ Padres 62% -180
ctx ✗ Cardinals 53% -104
ctx ✓ Rangers 53% +114
ctx ✓ Blue Jays 62% -175
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✗ ★ Yordan Alvarez 80% -280
✓ ★ Brett Bateman 82% -265
✓ ★ Isaac Paredes 74% -177
✗ ★ Jose Altuve 74% -210
✓ ★ Javier Sanoja 73% -235
✗ ★ Ernie Clement 77% -290
✓ ★ Brayan Rocchio 69% -163
✗ ★ Mookie Betts 74% -250
✗ ★ Tommy Edman 74% -250
✓ ★ Ketel Marte 70% -235
✓ ★ Mike Trout 79% -190
✗ ★ Riley Greene 76% -172
✓ ★ Gleyber Torres 76% -200
✗ ★ Andrew Vaughn 71% -210
✓ ★ Luis Arraez 85% -283
✓ ★ Alejandro Kirk 74% -310
✗ ★ Cooper Pratt 70% -165
✗ ★ Kaelen Culpepper 74% -143
✓ ★ Elly De La Cruz 73% -140
✓ ★ Teoscar Hernández 73% -200
✓ ★ Luis García Jr. 79% -264
✓ ★ Randy Arozarena 73% -212
✓ ★ Cody Bellinger 78% -235
✗ ★ Ben Rice 78% -260
✓ ★ Steven Kwan 73% -240
✓ ★ Bo Bichette 73% -238
✗ ★ Max Clark 71% -155
✗ ★ James Wood 71% -178
✓ ★ Yandy Díaz 81% -330
✓ ★ Chandler Simpson 79% -258
✗ ★ Josh Bell 70% -185
✓ ★ Jonathan Aranda 76% -230
✗ ★ Fernando Tatis Jr. 70% -300
✓ ★ Gabriel Moreno 74% -270
✗ ★ Héctor Rodríguez 70% -104
✗ ★ Jake Burger 66% -155
✓ ★ Brice Turang 76% -172
✓ ★ Brooks Lee 69% -196
✓ ★ A.J. Ewing 68% -137
✓ ★ Mauricio Dubón 71% -180
✓ ★ Dominic Canzone 65% -198
✓ ★ Brandon Lowe 68% -165
✓ ★ Ronald Acuña Jr. 70% -191
✓ ★ Bryan Reynolds 67% -185
✓ ★ Jake McCarthy 66% -176
✗ ★ Miguel Vargas 66% -185
✓ ★ Jakob Marsee 65% -135
✓ ★ Trevor Story 65% -190
✓ ★ T.J. Rumfield 65% -137
✓ ★ Sam Antonacci 65% -190
✗ ★ Ezequiel Duran 71% -186
✓ ★ Alec Burleson 71% -275
✓ ★ Henry Bolte 68% -210
✓ ★ Iván Herrera 66% -195
✗ ★ Zack Gelof 66% -210
✓ ★ Brady House 65% -154
✓ ★ Jeff McNeil 65% -300
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✓ CHC@MIL YRFI 51% +110
ctx ✗ CIN@LAD NRFI 52% -130
ctx ✗ CLE@BAL NRFI 50% -115
ctx ✓ COL@NYY YRFI 51% -102
ctx ✗ HOU@PHI YRFI 53% -125
ctx ✓ LAA@BOS NRFI 53% -135
ctx ✗ MIN@DET NRFI 51% -120
ctx ✗ NYM@MIA NRFI 50% -135
ctx ✗ PIT@CHW NRFI 52% -120
ctx ✗ STL@SF NRFI 52% -135
ctx ✗ TB@ATL NRFI 54% -105
ctx ✗ TEX@SEA NRFI 51% -125
ctx ✗ TOR@ATH YRFI 55% -125
F5 O/U
ctx ✗ CIN@LAD UNDER 4.5 -128
ctx ✓ CLE@BAL OVER 4.5 -130
ctx ✗ COL@NYY OVER 4.5 -105
ctx ✗ HOU@PHI UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✓ MIN@DET UNDER 4.5 -118
ctx ✓ NYM@MIA OVER 4.5 -102
ctx ✗ PIT@CHW UNDER 4.5 -118
ctx ✓ STL@SF UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✓ TB@ATL OVER 4.5 -115
ctx ✗ TEX@SEA UNDER 4.5 -130
ctx ✗ TOR@ATH OVER 4.5 -105
ctx ✗ WSH@SD OVER 4.5 -110
Game O/U
ctx ✗ CLE@BAL UNDER 8.5 -115
ctx ✗ HOU@PHI UNDER 8.5 -102
ctx ✓ MIN@DET UNDER 8 +100
ctx ✗ NYM@MIA UNDER 8 -105
ctx ✗ LAA@BOS OVER 7.5 -118
ctx P COL@NYY OVER 8 -110
ctx ✗ TB@ATL OVER 8.5 +100
ctx ✓ ARI@KC UNDER 9 +100
ctx ✗ CHC@MIL OVER 7.5 +100
ctx ✗ PIT@CHW UNDER 8.5 -114
ctx ✓ TOR@ATH UNDER 9.5 -110
ctx ✗ WSH@SD UNDER 8 -114
ctx ✗ STL@SF OVER 7.5 -115
ctx ✓ CIN@LAD UNDER 8 -104
ctx ✗ TEX@SEA UNDER 8 -110
Model propsmodel outputs
H+R+RBI
✗ Ben Rice OVER 1.5 -160
✗ Yordan Alvarez OVER 1.5 -154
✗ Brett Bateman OVER 1.5 -164
✓ Alejandro Kirk OVER 1.5 -183
Run Line
ctx ✓ CLE@BAL AWAY 1.5 -196
ctx ✓ HOU@PHI AWAY 1.5 -170
ctx ✓ MIN@DET AWAY 1.5 -178
ctx ✓ NYM@MIA AWAY 1.5 -188
ctx ✓ LAA@BOS AWAY 1.5 -170
ctx ✓ COL@NYY HOME -1.5 -154
ctx ✓ TB@ATL AWAY 1.5 -210
ctx ✓ ARI@KC AWAY 1.5 -280
ctx ✓ CHC@MIL AWAY 1.5 -115
ctx ✓ PIT@CHW AWAY 1.5 -164
ctx ✓ WSH@SD AWAY 1.5 -135
ctx ✓ CIN@LAD AWAY 1.5 +126
ctx ✓ TEX@SEA AWAY 1.5 -188
ctx ✓ TOR@ATH AWAY 1.5 -400
ctx ✓ STL@SF AWAY 1.5 -250
Mon Sep 7 Winners 1/1· 1 priced Hitters 21/41-23.7% -9.7u HRR 0/1· 1 priced Day -23.6% -10.2u context Winners 6/10 NRFI 6/10 F5 6/10 Spreads 8/11 Total 3/10
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
✓ Red Sox 65% -172
ctx ✓ D-backs 55% +101
ctx ✗ Guardians 51% +125
ctx ✓ Tigers 56% -115
ctx ✓ Dodgers 55% -172
ctx ✗ Marlins 57% -130
ctx ✓ Brewers 55% -121
ctx ✓ Phillies 51% -174
ctx ✓ Padres 60% -182
ctx ✗ Cardinals 54% +115
ctx ✗ Blue Jays 62% -200
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✗ ★ Brett Bateman 82% -217
✗ ★ Luis Arraez 79% -278
✗ ★ Wilyer Abreu 78% -221
✗ ★ Trevor Story 78% -220
✓ ★ Pete Crow-Armstrong 77% -205
✗ ★ Nico Hoerner 76% -253
✗ ★ Brice Turang 75% -225
✓ ★ Adley Rutschman 75% -215
✗ ★ Christian Yelich 71% -190
✓ ★ Brooks Lee 68% -231
✗ ★ Zach Neto 74% -220
✓ ★ Nathan Lukes 70% -175
✓ ★ Rafael Devers 72% -243
✗ ★ Drake Baldwin 72% -197
✓ ★ Wade Meckler 72% -180
✓ ★ Mike Trout 72% -200
✓ ★ Ketel Marte 72% -330
✓ ★ Andrew Vaughn 70% -188
✓ ★ Bryce Eldridge 71% -193
✓ ★ Carson Benge 70% -176
✓ ★ Elly De La Cruz 69% -186
✗ ★ Bryce Harper 69% -207
✓ ★ Bo Bichette 69% -250
✗ ★ Christian Encarnacion-Strand 69% -154
✓ ★ Alex Bregman 75% -206
✗ ★ Mauricio Dubón 68% -165
✓ ★ Fernando Tatis Jr. 78% -320
✗ ★ Ty France 73% -220
✗ ★ Josh Bell 69% -209
✗ ★ Ronald Acuña Jr. 67% -185
✗ ★ Alec Bohm 67% -206
✓ ★ Brayan Rocchio 67% -147
✗ ★ Luis Campusano 68% -159
✓ ★ Iván Herrera 68% -230
✗ ★ Blaze Alexander 66% -219
✓ ★ Gleyber Torres 65% -190
✗ ★ Tommy Edman 67% -195
✓ ★ Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 73% -278
✗ ★ Sal Stewart 66% -195
✓ ★ Héctor Rodríguez 65% -177
✓ ★ Teoscar Hernández 65% -160
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✓ ATL@PHI NRFI 54% -135
ctx ✓ CHC@MIL NRFI 50% -125
ctx ✓ CIN@LAD YRFI 51% +100
ctx ✓ CLE@BAL NRFI 53% -145
ctx ✗ LAA@BOS YRFI 63% -115
ctx ✗ MIN@DET NRFI 52% -130
ctx ✓ NYM@MIA YRFI 58% -105
ctx ✗ STL@SF NRFI 50% -135
ctx ✗ TOR@ATH NRFI 53% -130
ctx ✓ WSH@SD YRFI 51% -110
F5 O/U
ctx ✓ ARI@KC UNDER 4.5 -115
ctx ✓ ATL@PHI UNDER 4.5 -130
ctx ✓ CHC@MIL UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✗ CIN@LAD OVER 4.5 -105
ctx ✗ LAA@BOS UNDER 4.5 -125
ctx ✓ MIN@DET OVER 4.5 -125
ctx ✗ NYM@MIA UNDER 4.5 -130
ctx ✓ STL@SF UNDER 4.5 -105
ctx ✓ TOR@ATH OVER 4.5 +100
ctx ✗ WSH@SD OVER 4.5 -105
Game O/U
ctx ✓ ATL@PHI UNDER 8 -110
ctx ✗ NYM@MIA UNDER 8 -106
ctx ✓ CLE@BAL OVER 7.5 +105
ctx P ARI@KC UNDER 9 +100
ctx ✗ CHC@MIL OVER 8.5 +100
ctx ✗ WSH@SD OVER 8 -110
ctx ✓ STL@SF OVER 7.5 -115
ctx ✗ TOR@ATH UNDER 8.5 -118
ctx ✗ LAA@BOS OVER 8.5 +105
ctx ✗ MIN@DET UNDER 8 -115
ctx ✗ CIN@LAD UNDER 8.5 -110
Model propsmodel outputs
H+R+RBI
✗ Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OVER 1.5 -157
Run Line
ctx ✓ ATL@PHI AWAY 1.5 -135
ctx ✓ NYM@MIA AWAY 1.5 -178
ctx ✗ LAA@BOS AWAY 1.5 -142
ctx ✗ CLE@BAL AWAY 1.5 -190
ctx ✓ CHC@MIL AWAY 1.5 -180
ctx ✓ WSH@SD AWAY 1.5 -125
ctx ✓ STL@SF AWAY 1.5 -190
ctx ✗ CIN@LAD AWAY 1.5 -144
ctx ✓ ARI@KC AWAY 1.5 -205
ctx ✓ MIN@DET AWAY 1.5 -200
ctx ✓ TOR@ATH AWAY 1.5 -500
Sun Sep 6 Hitters 36/59-7.8% -4.6u HRR 4/4+61.9% +2.5u Day -3.3% -2.1u context Winners 10/14 NRFI 7/14 F5 2/3 Spreads 7/15 Total 3/13
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
ctx ✓ D-backs 52% -105
ctx ✓ Braves 52% -105
ctx ✓ Red Sox 55% -127
ctx ✗ Cubs 56% -140
ctx ✓ White Sox 59% -140
ctx ✓ Guardians 58% -155
ctx ✓ Royals 53% +105
ctx ✓ Dodgers 62% -195
ctx ✗ Brewers 60% -135
ctx ✗ Yankees 50% -110
ctx ✓ Pirates 57% -190
ctx ✓ Mariners 60% -190
ctx ✓ Cardinals 62% -130
ctx ✗ Rays 56% -105
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✓ ★ Luis Arraez 82% -270
✗ ★ Jackson Chourio 81% -297
✓ ★ Jake McCarthy 75% -351
✓ ★ Drake Baldwin 77% -235
✓ ★ Ezequiel Duran 71% -175
✓ ★ Yordan Alvarez 75% -245
✗ ★ Kazuma Okamoto 74% -220
✓ ★ T.J. Rumfield 74% -260
✓ ★ Joshua Baez 73% -269
✓ ★ Josh Naylor 77% -175
✓ ★ Javier Sanoja 65% -164
✗ ★ Chase Meidroth 73% -180
✓ ★ Christian Yelich 73% -250
✓ ★ Elly De La Cruz 73% -165
✗ ★ Bryce Harper 73% -200
✓ ★ Brandon Lowe 66% -190
✗ ★ Vaughn Grissom 65% -165
✓ ★ Ronald Acuña Jr. 72% -205
✓ ★ Miguel Vargas 70% -200
✗ ★ Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 78% -350
✗ ★ Cooper Pratt 71% -190
✓ ★ Sal Stewart 71% -180
✗ ★ Ty France 71% -182
✓ ★ Trevor Story 71% -179
✓ ★ Nathan Lukes 75% -260
✓ ★ Mookie Betts 70% -225
✓ ★ Nico Hoerner 72% -235
✓ ★ Tommy Edman 70% -235
✓ ★ Cody Bellinger 67% -200
✗ ★ Alex Bregman 71% -200
✗ ★ Roman Anthony 70% -225
✗ ★ Nick Gonzales 71% -225
✓ ★ Gabriel Moreno 71% -215
✗ ★ Ben Rice 67% -190
✓ ★ Yandy Díaz 76% -254
✗ ★ Zack Gelof 66% -141
✓ ★ Manny Machado 66% -195
✓ ★ Iván Herrera 77% -360
✗ ★ Luke Keaschall 69% -220
✗ ★ Junior Caminero 72% -235
✓ ★ Jonathan Aranda 71% -178
✗ ★ Mickey Gasper 67% -148
✓ ★ Christian Encarnacion-Strand 67% -125
✗ ★ Isaac Paredes 68% -159
✓ ★ Zach Neto 67% -160
✗ ★ Oneil Cruz 67% -160
✓ ★ Ketel Marte 67% -186
✗ ★ Ryan Jeffers 67% -200
✓ ★ James Wood 67% -160
✓ ★ Rafael Devers 68% -199
✓ ★ Wade Meckler 66% -139
✗ ★ Kyle Stowers 66% -177
✓ ★ J.P. Crawford 67% -140
✓ ★ Corey Seager 66% -185
✗ ★ Josh Bell 69% -175
✗ ★ Blaze Alexander 65% -182
✗ ★ Jeff McNeil 65% -210
✓ ★ Riley Greene 65% -137
✓ ★ Daylen Lile 65% -165
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✓ ARI@HOU YRFI 51% +100
ctx ✓ ATH@SEA NRFI 51% -150
ctx ✓ ATL@PHI YRFI 50% -105
ctx ✗ BOS@BAL NRFI 53% -140
ctx ✓ CHC@MIA NRFI 52% -130
ctx ✗ DET@CLE NRFI 50% -150
ctx ✓ LAA@PIT NRFI 53% -150
ctx ✗ MIL@CIN NRFI 50% -120
ctx ✓ MIN@CHW NRFI 52% -110
ctx ✗ NYY@SD NRFI 54% -150
ctx ✗ STL@COL NRFI 50% +110
ctx ✗ TB@TEX YRFI 50% +105
ctx ✗ TOR@KC NRFI 54% +100
ctx ✓ WSH@LAD NRFI 52% -115
F5 O/U
ctx ✓ CHC@MIA OVER 4.5 -102
ctx ✓ MIN@CHW UNDER 4.5 -105
ctx ✗ WSH@LAD UNDER 4.5 -114
Game O/U
ctx ✗ MIL@CIN UNDER 8.5 -105
ctx ✗ ATL@PHI UNDER 8 -105
ctx ✗ LAA@PIT OVER 7 -110
ctx ✗ BOS@BAL OVER 7.5 +105
ctx ✗ CHC@MIA UNDER 8 -103
ctx ✗ DET@CLE OVER 7 +100
ctx ✓ ARI@HOU UNDER 8 -110
ctx ✓ TOR@KC UNDER 9.5 -115
ctx ✓ TB@TEX OVER 7.5 -110
ctx ✗ STL@COL UNDER 11 -105
ctx ✗ ATH@SEA OVER 7 -110
ctx P NYY@SD UNDER 7 -105
ctx ✗ MIN@CHW UNDER 8.5 -108
ctx ✗ WSH@LAD UNDER 8.5 -120
Model propsmodel outputs
H+R+RBI
✓ Iván Herrera OVER 1.5 -210
✓ Joshua Baez OVER 1.5 -149
✓ Drake Baldwin OVER 1.5 -130
✓ Jake McCarthy OVER 1.5 -179
Run Line
ctx ✗ MIL@CIN AWAY 1.5 -340
ctx ✓ ATL@PHI AWAY 1.5 -215
ctx ✓ LAA@PIT AWAY 1.5 -135
ctx ✓ BOS@BAL AWAY 1.5 -330
ctx ✗ CHC@MIA AWAY 1.5 -330
ctx ✓ DET@CLE AWAY 1.5 -155
ctx ✗ SF@NYM AWAY 1.5 -145
ctx ✓ ARI@HOU AWAY 1.5 -220
ctx ✗ TOR@KC AWAY 1.5 -265
ctx ✗ TB@TEX AWAY 1.5 -225
ctx ✓ STL@COL AWAY 1.5 -265
ctx ✗ ATH@SEA AWAY 1.5 -130
ctx ✓ NYY@SD AWAY 1.5 -265
ctx ✗ MIN@CHW AWAY 1.5 -165
ctx ✗ WSH@LAD AWAY 1.5 -125
Sat Sep 5 Winners 0/2· 2 priced Hitters 44/57+16.5% +9.4u HRR 1/2· 2 priced Day +11.4% +7.0u context Winners 4/12 NRFI 10/14 F5 3/9 Spreads 12/15 Total 9/14
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
✗ Pirates 64% -177
✗ Mariners 63% -245
ctx ✗ Braves 51% +143
ctx ✓ Red Sox 58% -125
ctx ✓ Cubs 53% -121
ctx ✗ White Sox 55% -115
ctx ✗ Guardians 62% -153
ctx ✗ Royals 50% -105
ctx ✓ Dodgers 62% -213
ctx ✗ Brewers 58% -153
ctx ✗ Mets 58% -157
ctx ✗ Padres 50% -124
ctx ✗ Cardinals 52% -120
ctx ✓ Rays 58% -105
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✓ ★ Brett Bateman 82% -260
✓ ★ Nick Gonzales 77% -250
✗ ★ Yordan Alvarez 78% -270
✓ ★ Nico Hoerner 77% -225
✗ ★ Alex Bregman 77% -195
✓ ★ T.J. Rumfield 77% -225
✓ ★ Rafael Devers 77% -182
✓ ★ Zack Gelof 73% -156
✓ ★ Andrew Vaughn 67% -243
✗ ★ Chandler Simpson 73% -210
✓ ★ Luis Arraez 77% -250
✓ ★ Josh Bell 72% -165
✓ ★ Bryan Reynolds 71% -220
✓ ★ Salvador Perez 72% -210
✓ ★ Jackson Chourio 77% -320
✓ ★ Jeff McNeil 72% -189
✓ ★ Isaac Paredes 71% -185
✓ ★ Liam Hicks 68% -150
✓ ★ Vaughn Grissom 66% -202
✓ ★ Chase Meidroth 69% -160
✓ ★ Elly De La Cruz 73% -180
✓ ★ Tommy Edman 68% -200
✓ ★ Cody Bellinger 67% -190
✗ ★ Roman Anthony 76% -220
✓ ★ Mookie Betts 68% -210
✓ ★ Trevor Story 74% -155
✓ ★ Ben Rice 66% -150
✗ ★ Steven Kwan 72% -230
✗ ★ Mickey Gasper 73% -200
✗ ★ Carson Benge 71% -230
✗ ★ Bo Bichette 71% -275
✓ ★ Oneil Cruz 72% -165
✓ ★ Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 74% -315
✗ ★ Brandon Nimmo 66% -160
✓ ★ Yainer Diaz 70% -200
✓ ★ Luke Keaschall 72% -200
✓ ★ Sal Stewart 70% -235
✓ ★ Michael Massey 72% -200
✗ ★ Jo Adell 70% -200
✓ ★ Drake Baldwin 69% -186
✓ ★ Christian Encarnacion-Strand 70% -185
✓ ★ Nathan Lukes 71% -229
✗ ★ Yandy Díaz 74% -225
✓ ★ Ryan Jeffers 70% -195
✓ ★ Osleivis Basabe 67% -124
✓ ★ Bryce Harper 67% -210
✗ ★ Freddie Freeman 75% -212
✓ ★ Jake McCarthy 78% -374
✓ ★ Gleyber Torres 66% -163
✓ ★ Wade Meckler 66% -185
✓ ★ Cooper Pratt 66% -170
✓ ★ Randy Arozarena 72% -235
✓ ★ Miguel Vargas 66% -175
✓ ★ Kyle Stowers 65% -200
✗ ★ Ezequiel Duran 65% -147
✓ ★ Dominic Canzone 65% -210
✓ ★ Henry Bolte 74% -190
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✗ ATH@SEA YRFI 53% +100
ctx ✗ ATL@PHI NRFI 51% -125
ctx ✓ BOS@BAL NRFI 51% -125
ctx ✓ CHC@MIA NRFI 54% -120
ctx ✗ DET@CLE NRFI 51% -150
ctx ✓ LAA@PIT NRFI 52% -135
ctx ✓ MIL@CIN YRFI 53% -115
ctx ✗ MIN@CHW NRFI 51% -125
ctx ✓ NYY@SD NRFI 53% -130
ctx ✓ SF@NYM YRFI 53% -105
ctx ✓ STL@COL NRFI 54% +110
ctx ✓ TB@TEX YRFI 53% +130
ctx ✓ TOR@KC YRFI 58% -135
ctx ✓ WSH@LAD YRFI 51% +120
F5 O/U
ctx ✗ ATH@SEA OVER 4.5 +108
ctx ✓ ATL@PHI OVER 4.5 +100
ctx ✗ BOS@BAL OVER 4.5 +100
ctx ✗ CHC@MIA UNDER 4.5 -118
ctx ✗ LAA@PIT OVER 4.5 -125
ctx ✗ MIL@CIN OVER 4.5 -105
ctx ✗ MIN@CHW UNDER 4.5 -130
ctx ✓ NYY@SD OVER 4.5 -125
ctx ✓ SF@NYM OVER 4.5 -105
Game O/U
ctx ✗ CHC@MIA UNDER 8.5 -115
ctx ✗ SF@NYM UNDER 8 -112
ctx ✓ ATL@PHI UNDER 8.5 -119
ctx ✓ DET@CLE UNDER 7 -120
ctx ✗ LAA@PIT OVER 8 -101
ctx ✓ MIL@CIN UNDER 9 -105
ctx ✗ TB@TEX UNDER 7 -120
ctx ✓ BOS@BAL UNDER 8 -102
ctx ✓ MIN@CHW OVER 8 -115
ctx ✓ TOR@KC UNDER 9.5 -105
ctx ✓ NYY@SD UNDER 7.5 -102
ctx ✗ STL@COL UNDER 11 -118
ctx ✓ WSH@LAD OVER 7 -117
ctx ✓ ATH@SEA OVER 7.5 -108
Model propsmodel outputs
H+R+RBI
✓ Jake McCarthy OVER 1.5 -178
✗ Oneil Cruz OVER 1.5 -110
Run Line
ctx ✓ SF@NYM AWAY 1.5 -146
ctx ✗ ATL@PHI AWAY 1.5 -157
ctx ✓ DET@CLE AWAY 1.5 -160
ctx ✓ LAA@PIT AWAY 1.5 -140
ctx ✗ MIL@CIN AWAY 1.5 -370
ctx ✓ TB@TEX AWAY 1.5 -245
ctx ✓ BOS@BAL AWAY 1.5 -310
ctx ✓ MIN@CHW AWAY 1.5 -192
ctx ✓ TOR@KC AWAY 1.5 -210
ctx ✓ ARI@HOU AWAY 1.5 -210
ctx ✓ NYY@SD AWAY 1.5 -190
ctx ✓ WSH@LAD AWAY 1.5 -122
ctx ✓ ATH@SEA AWAY 1.5 +100
ctx ✓ CHC@MIA AWAY 1.5 -320
ctx ✗ STL@COL AWAY 1.5 -245
Fri Sep 4 Winners 0/1· 1 priced Hitters 29/52-18.3% -9.5u HRR 2/4-27.3% -1.1u Day -20.3% -11.6u context Winners 9/12 NRFI 7/12 F5 2/7 Spreads 12/16 Total 6/13
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
✗ Mariners 64% -220
ctx ✗ D-backs 51% +120
ctx ✓ Braves 51% +105
ctx ✓ Red Sox 52% -115
ctx ✓ Cubs 52% -153
ctx ✓ White Sox 57% -115
ctx ✓ Guardians (G1) 53% -130
ctx ✗ Royals 55% -115
ctx ✓ Brewers 62% -153
ctx ✗ Yankees 55% -110
ctx ✓ Pirates 62% -190
ctx ✓ Cardinals 62% -121
ctx ✓ Rays 58% -104
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✓ ★ Yandy Díaz 82% -300
✓ ★ Ronald Acuña Jr. 68% -181
✓ ★ Chandler Simpson 81% -268
✗ ★ Nick Gonzales 79% -310
✗ ★ Oneil Cruz 75% -186
✓ ★ Cooper Pratt 71% -195
✓ ★ Brett Bateman 74% -250
✗ ★ Brandon Nimmo 73% -211
✗ ★ Tyler Stephenson 65% -167
✓ ★ Jordan Walker 81% -396
✗ ★ Brooks Lee 69% -250
✗ ★ Lars Nootbaar 71% -152
✓ ★ Ezequiel Duran 72% -189
✓ ★ Jackson Chourio 81% -400
✓ ★ Drake Baldwin 74% -175
✓ ★ Iván Herrera 74% -370
✓ ★ T.J. Rumfield 71% -260
✓ ★ William Contreras 77% -310
✗ ★ Jac Caglianone 68% -280
✓ ★ Elly De La Cruz 75% -190
✓ ★ Vaughn Grissom 67% -195
✗ ★ Wilyer Abreu 73% -220
✗ ★ Roman Anthony 73% -225
✗ ★ Randy Arozarena 73% -195
✓ ★ Alex Bregman 75% -195
✗ ★ Chase Meidroth 75% -177
✓ ★ Sal Stewart 73% -235
✗ ★ Cody Bellinger 72% -200
✓ ★ Cole Carrigg 66% -260
✗ ★ Nick Sogard 71% -157
✓ ★ Miguel Vargas 72% -210
✗ ★ Ryan Waldschmidt 75% -112
✓ ★ Gleyber Torres (G1) 69% -200
✓ ★ Brandon Lowe 74% -208
✗ ★ Luke Keaschall 71% -215
✗ ★ Fernando Tatis Jr. 70% -240
✓ ★ Chase DeLauter (G1) 68% -245
✗ ★ Henry Bolte 66% -174
✓ ★ Josh Bell 70% -198
✓ ★ Christian Encarnacion-Strand 68% -175
✗ ★ Carson Kelly 69% -154
✗ ★ Sean Murphy 67% -104
✗ ★ Jake McCarthy 72% -380
✓ ★ Gunnar Henderson 66% -190
✓ ★ Wade Meckler 67% -167
✓ ★ Ian Happ 66% -165
✓ ★ Javier Sanoja 66% -215
✗ ★ Cody Freeman 66% -145
✗ ★ Bryce Harper 65% -150
✓ ★ Blaze Alexander 65% -265
✗ ★ Jazz Chisholm Jr. 65% -145
✓ ★ Brady House 66% -115
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✓ ARI@HOU NRFI 50% -110
ctx ✗ ATH@SEA YRFI 52% +110
ctx ✓ ATL@PHI NRFI 51% -165
ctx ✗ BOS@BAL NRFI 51% -120
ctx ✓ CHC@MIA NRFI 50% -125
ctx ✗ DET@CLE (G1) NRFI 54% -118
ctx ✓ LAA@PIT NRFI 52% -120
ctx ✗ MIL@CIN NRFI 50% -105
ctx ✓ MIN@CHW YRFI 57% -118
ctx ✓ NYY@SD NRFI 52% -135
ctx ✓ STL@COL YRFI 51% -155
ctx ✗ TOR@KC NRFI 51% +100
F5 O/U
ctx ✗ ARI@HOU OVER 4.5 -110
ctx ✗ BOS@BAL OVER 4.5 -105
ctx ✗ DET@CLE (G1) UNDER 4.5 -115
ctx ✗ LAA@PIT OVER 4.5 -115
ctx ✗ MIN@CHW OVER 4.5 -105
ctx ✓ NYY@SD UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✓ TB@TEX OVER 4.5 -110
Game O/U
ctx ✗ DET@CLE (G1) UNDER 8.5 -118
ctx ✗ MIL@CIN UNDER 9.5 -108
ctx ✗ LAA@PIT OVER 8.5 +100
ctx ✓ ATL@PHI OVER 6.5 -115
ctx ✓ BOS@BAL UNDER 8 -102
ctx ✓ CHC@MIA UNDER 8 -110
ctx ✓ MIN@CHW UNDER 9 -112
ctx ✗ TB@TEX UNDER 8 -102
ctx ✗ ARI@HOU OVER 8.5 -118
ctx ✗ TOR@KC UNDER 10 -114
ctx ✗ STL@COL UNDER 11.5 -118
ctx ✓ NYY@SD UNDER 7.5 -118
ctx ✓ ATH@SEA OVER 7.5 +100
Model propsmodel outputs
H+R+RBI
✓ Jordan Walker OVER 1.5 -221
✓ Iván Herrera OVER 1.5 -219
✗ Jake McCarthy OVER 1.5 -195
✗ Oneil Cruz OVER 1.5 -120
Run Line
ctx ✓ DET@CLE (G1) AWAY 1.5 -178
ctx ✓ MIL@CIN AWAY 1.5 -350
ctx ✓ LAA@PIT AWAY 1.5 -130
ctx ✓ ATL@PHI AWAY 1.5 -220
ctx ✓ BOS@BAL AWAY 1.5 -280
ctx ✓ CHC@MIA AWAY 1.5 -330
ctx ✓ DET@CLE (G2) AWAY 1.5 -165
ctx ✗ SF@NYM AWAY 1.5 -125
ctx ✗ MIN@CHW AWAY 1.5 -195
ctx ✗ ARI@HOU AWAY 1.5 -184
ctx ✓ TOR@KC AWAY 1.5 -190
ctx ✗ WSH@LAD AWAY 1.5 +105
ctx ✓ TB@TEX AWAY 1.5 -230
ctx ✓ STL@COL AWAY 1.5 -280
ctx ✓ NYY@SD AWAY 1.5 -295
ctx ✓ ATH@SEA AWAY 1.5 -115
Thu Sep 3 Winners 1/2· 2 priced Hitters 15/26-14.0% -3.6u HRR 1/3-40.0% -1.2u Day -17.7% -5.5u context Winners 3/7 NRFI 3/9 F5 1/6 Spreads 5/9 Total 5/9
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
✗ Mariners 63% -203
✓ Dodgers 63% -285
ctx ✓ Red Sox 51% -121
ctx ✗ Guardians 52% -108
ctx ✓ Astros 56% -153
ctx ✗ Marlins 52% +105
ctx ✗ Brewers 58% -115
ctx ✓ Pirates 60% -160
ctx ✗ Rays 55% -125
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✓ ★ Nick Gonzales 82% -295
✗ ★ Oneil Cruz 78% -195
✓ ★ Yandy Díaz 78% -305
✓ ★ Nick Sogard 72% -185
✗ ★ Chandler Simpson 77% -245
✗ ★ Brandon Lowe 77% -210
✗ ★ Yordan Alvarez 78% -270
✓ ★ Brett Bateman 76% -215
✓ ★ Randy Arozarena 75% -185
✓ ★ Jac Caglianone 72% -258
✗ ★ Jeremy Peña 76% -275
✓ ★ Alex Bregman 69% -150
V ★ Cooper Pratt 67% -165
✗ ★ Jackson Chourio 78% -280
✗ ★ Wilyer Abreu 73% -234
✓ ★ Roman Anthony 73% -235
✓ ★ Chase DeLauter 71% -230
✗ ★ William Contreras 74% -220
✗ ★ Junior Caminero 74% -270
✓ ★ Jordan Walker 71% -164
✗ ★ Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 69% -245
✓ ★ Pete Crow-Armstrong 70% -175
✗ ★ Seiya Suzuki 70% -148
✓ ★ Gunnar Henderson 66% -175
✓ ★ Blaze Alexander 66% -200
✓ ★ Kyle Stowers 66% -195
✓ ★ Javier Sanoja 65% -220
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✗ ATH@SEA NRFI 51% -135
ctx ✗ BOS@BAL NRFI 52% -120
ctx ✗ CHW@HOU NRFI 52% -120
ctx ✗ MIA@KC NRFI 51% -110
ctx ✓ MIL@CHC NRFI 50% -125
ctx ✗ SF@PIT NRFI 51% -125
ctx ✗ STL@LAD NRFI 51% -135
ctx ✓ TB@TEX NRFI 52% -125
ctx ✓ TOR@CLE NRFI 53% -140
F5 O/U
ctx ✗ ATH@SEA UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✗ BOS@BAL OVER 4.5 -105
ctx ✗ CHW@HOU UNDER 4.5 -115
ctx ✗ MIL@CHC OVER 4.5 -102
ctx ✗ SF@PIT OVER 4.5 -110
ctx ✓ TB@TEX UNDER 4.5 -110
Game O/U
ctx ✓ SF@PIT UNDER 9 -115
ctx ✗ TOR@CLE UNDER 8 -120
ctx ✗ CHW@HOU OVER 8.5 -102
ctx ✗ BOS@BAL UNDER 8.5 -114
ctx ✓ MIL@CHC UNDER 8 +100
ctx ✗ MIA@KC UNDER 9 -105
ctx ✓ TB@TEX UNDER 8 -118
ctx ✓ ATH@SEA OVER 7 -115
ctx ✓ STL@LAD UNDER 8 -115
Model propsmodel outputs
H+R+RBI
✓ Oneil Cruz OVER 1.5 -125
✗ Yordan Alvarez OVER 1.5 -170
✗ Jackson Chourio OVER 1.5 -145
Run Line
ctx ✗ SF@PIT AWAY 1.5 -145
ctx ✓ TOR@CLE AWAY 1.5 -235
ctx ✗ CHW@HOU AWAY 1.5 -154
ctx ✓ BOS@BAL AWAY 1.5 -290
ctx ✓ MIL@CHC AWAY 1.5 -260
ctx ✗ MIA@KC AWAY 1.5 -230
ctx ✓ ATH@SEA AWAY 1.5 -125
ctx ✓ STL@LAD AWAY 1.5 +118
ctx ✗ TB@TEX AWAY 1.5 -310
Wed Sep 2 Winners 1/3-45.4% -1.4u Hitters 32/48-1.4% -0.7u HRR 2/5-34.3% -1.7u Day -6.7% -3.7u context Winners 6/11 NRFI 4/12 F5 3/11 Spreads 13/15 Total 5/15
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
✓ Yankees 64% -157
✗ Rangers 63% -157
✗ Dodgers 65% -255
ctx ✓ D-backs 58% +105
ctx ✓ Braves 56% -135
ctx ✗ Orioles 59% -157
ctx ✗ Red Sox 58% -130
ctx ✓ Astros 52% -135
ctx ✓ Marlins 53% -104
ctx ✓ Brewers 61% -153
ctx ✗ Twins 51% -105
ctx ✗ Pirates 59% -145
ctx ✗ Padres 56% -143
ctx ✓ Blue Jays 50% -125
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✓ ★ Randy Arozarena 81% -221
✗ ★ Chase Meidroth 78% -152
✗ ★ Kaelen Culpepper 73% -150
✓ ★ William Contreras 76% -240
✗ ★ Jordan Lawlar 72% -145
✓ ★ Jake McCarthy 73% -350
✗ ★ Miguel Vargas 75% -175
✓ ★ Hunter Goodman 69% -250
✗ ★ Nick Sogard 68% -177
✗ ★ Jake Bauers 71% -160
✗ ★ Gabriel Moreno 78% -250
✗ ★ Alejandro Kirk 68% -199
✓ ★ Oneil Cruz 69% -165
✓ ★ Luke Keaschall 70% -230
✓ ★ Brandon Nimmo 73% -175
✗ ★ Luis Arraez 74% -300
✓ ★ Elly De La Cruz 71% -218
✓ ★ Ryan Jeffers 68% -185
✓ ★ Geraldo Perdomo 73% -220
✓ ★ Luis Lara 68% -185
✗ ★ Sal Stewart 70% -240
✗ ★ Daylen Lile 70% -248
✗ ★ Gunnar Henderson 73% -380
✗ ★ Michael Harris II 69% -306
✓ ★ Freddie Freeman 73% -220
✓ ★ Brett Bateman 75% -193
✓ ★ Kyle Stowers 68% -200
✓ ★ T.J. Rumfield 72% -235
✗ ★ Jose Altuve 65% -200
✓ ★ Jordan Walker 67% -170
✓ ★ Nick Gonzales 73% -275
✓ ★ Wilyer Abreu 68% -225
✗ ★ Drake Baldwin 67% -310
✓ ★ Mookie Betts 66% -210
✓ ★ Cody Freeman 67% -132
✓ ★ Héctor Rodríguez 66% -200
✓ ★ Roman Anthony 67% -235
✓ ★ Brandon Lowe 68% -200
✓ ★ Dylan Beavers 66% -254
✓ ★ George Springer 66% -198
V ★ Brady House 65% -175
✗ ★ Trea Turner 65% -300
✓ ★ Jeremy Peña 71% -286
✓ ★ Javier Sanoja 66% -309
✓ ★ Jac Caglianone 66% -220
✓ ★ Chase DeLauter 65% -177
✓ ★ Bryce Eldridge 65% -165
✓ ★ Rafael Devers 65% -210
✓ ★ Cody Bellinger 65% -180
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✗ ATH@TEX NRFI 51% -130
ctx ✓ ATL@WSH NRFI 52% -105
ctx ✗ BAL@COL YRFI 52% -150
ctx ✗ CHW@HOU YRFI 51% -115
ctx ✗ DET@MIN YRFI 52% +100
ctx ✗ MIA@KC NRFI 52% -125
ctx ✓ MIL@CHC YRFI 50% -115
ctx ✓ NYY@LAA NRFI 52% -165
ctx ✗ SD@CIN NRFI 52% -102
ctx ✓ SEA@BOS NRFI 52% -110
ctx ✗ SF@PIT NRFI 52% -120
ctx ✗ TOR@CLE NRFI 52% -145
F5 O/U
ctx ✗ ATH@TEX UNDER 4.5 -105
ctx ✗ ATL@WSH OVER 4.5 -115
ctx ✗ CHW@HOU OVER 4.5 -125
ctx ✓ DET@MIN OVER 4.5 -130
ctx ✗ MIA@KC UNDER 4.5 -115
ctx ✗ MIL@CHC UNDER 4.5 -102
ctx ✗ NYM@TB UNDER 4.5 -118
ctx ✗ PHI@ARI OVER 4.5 -110
ctx ✓ SEA@BOS OVER 4.5 -110
ctx ✗ SF@PIT OVER 4.5 -105
ctx ✓ STL@LAD UNDER 4.5 -110
Game O/U
ctx ✗ SD@CIN UNDER 9.5 -120
ctx ✓ ATL@WSH UNDER 9.5 -115
ctx ✗ ATH@TEX UNDER 8 -115
ctx ✓ BAL@COL UNDER 11.5 -120
ctx ✓ PHI@ARI UNDER 9 +100
ctx ✗ SEA@BOS UNDER 8.5 -110
ctx ✗ NYM@TB UNDER 8 -110
ctx ✓ SF@PIT OVER 8.5 -115
ctx ✗ TOR@CLE UNDER 7 +101
ctx ✗ DET@MIN UNDER 8.5 -105
ctx ✗ MIA@KC UNDER 9 -115
ctx ✗ MIL@CHC UNDER 8.5 -118
ctx ✓ CHW@HOU UNDER 8.5 -105
ctx ✗ NYY@LAA UNDER 7 -120
ctx ✗ STL@LAD UNDER 8 -114
Model propsmodel outputs
H+R+RBI
✗ Gunnar Henderson OVER 1.5 -202
✗ Drake Baldwin OVER 1.5 -179
✓ Hunter Goodman OVER 1.5 -150
✓ Jake McCarthy OVER 1.5 -162
✗ Michael Harris II OVER 1.5 -154
Run Line
ctx ✗ SD@CIN AWAY 1.5 -320
ctx ✓ ATH@TEX AWAY 1.5 -150
ctx ✓ BAL@COL AWAY 1.5 -350
ctx ✓ SEA@BOS AWAY 1.5 -186
ctx ✓ NYM@TB AWAY 1.5 -140
ctx ✓ SF@PIT AWAY 1.5 -164
ctx ✓ TOR@CLE AWAY 1.5 -310
ctx ✓ DET@MIN AWAY 1.5 -210
ctx ✓ MIA@KC AWAY 1.5 -210
ctx ✓ MIL@CHC AWAY 1.5 -390
ctx ✗ CHW@HOU AWAY 1.5 -178
ctx ✓ STL@LAD AWAY 1.5 +100
ctx ✓ ATL@WSH AWAY 1.5 -330
ctx ✓ PHI@ARI AWAY 1.5 -250
ctx ✓ NYY@LAA AWAY 1.5 -410
Tue Sep 1 Winners 2/2· 2 priced Hitters 41/67-10.0% -6.7u HRR 3/6-20.2% -1.2u Day -8.8% -6.6u context Winners 4/13 NRFI 6/14 F5 3/5 Spreads 9/15 Total 9/14
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
✓ Yankees 65% -180
✓ Rays 63% -124
ctx ✗ D-backs 53% +120
ctx ✗ Braves 58% -170
ctx ✗ Orioles 62% -140
ctx ✗ Red Sox 55% -119
ctx ✗ Cubs 50% -124
ctx ✓ White Sox 56% -102
ctx ✓ Guardians 51% -175
ctx ✗ Tigers 51% +100
ctx ✗ Royals 52% -114
ctx ✗ Dodgers 58% -170
ctx ✓ Pirates 57% -157
ctx ✗ Padres 55% -134
ctx ✓ Rangers 61% -206
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✓ ★ Otto Lopez 82% -323
✗ ★ Manny Machado 68% -300
✓ ★ Ben Rice 75% -220
✓ ★ Brandon Nimmo 76% -210
✓ ★ Chandler Simpson 78% -240
✓ ★ Christian Encarnacion-Strand 75% -290
✓ ★ Kyle Stowers 73% -293
✓ ★ Junior Caminero 76% -254
✗ ★ Jake Burger 71% -174
✓ ★ Jordan Walker 73% -200
✓ ★ Javier Sanoja 71% -260
✓ ★ Rafael Devers 65% -178
✓ ★ Kaelen Culpepper 70% -148
✓ ★ Elly De La Cruz 75% -220
✗ ★ Jake Bauers 70% -200
✗ ★ Jac Caglianone 71% -310
✓ ★ Brady House 65% -200
✓ ★ Sal Stewart 74% -250
✓ ★ Luke Keaschall 67% -190
✗ ★ Jeremy Peña 71% -218
✓ ★ Michael Harris II 77% -340
✓ ★ Jazz Chisholm Jr. 69% -160
✓ ★ Drake Baldwin 76% -340
✗ ★ Ty France 72% -260
✓ ★ Jackson Merrill 72% -275
✗ ★ Brett Bateman 72% -162
✗ ★ Brooks Lee 65% -225
✓ ★ Nick Gonzales 73% -250
✗ ★ Ezequiel Duran 75% -208
✓ ★ Jackson Chourio 77% -330
✗ ★ Pete Crow-Armstrong 76% -235
✗ ★ Seiya Suzuki 76% -260
✗ ★ Gunnar Henderson 74% -370
✓ ★ Nico Hoerner 75% -250
✓ ★ T.J. Rumfield 72% -240
✓ ★ William Contreras 74% -280
✗ ★ Jung Hoo Lee 70% -235
✗ ★ José Caballero 67% -145
✓ ★ Héctor Rodríguez 69% -245
✗ ★ Chase DeLauter 69% -235
✓ ★ Bryce Harper 67% -205
✗ ★ Ronald Acuña Jr. 70% -278
✗ ★ Daylen Lile 70% -235
✗ ★ Vaughn Grissom 66% -181
✓ ★ Gleyber Torres 70% -225
✓ ★ Wilyer Abreu 67% -195
✓ ★ Nick Sogard 67% -160
✓ ★ Wade Meckler 66% -132
✓ ★ Oneil Cruz 68% -186
✗ ★ Freddie Freeman 76% -260
✗ ★ Sam Antonacci 69% -210
✓ ★ Miguel Vargas 69% -175
V ★ Tommy White 67% -175
✓ ★ Cody Bellinger 75% -225
✗ ★ Vinnie Pasquantino 67% -235
✗ ★ Hunter Goodman 69% -250
✗ ★ Gabriel Moreno 71% -205
✓ ★ Mookie Betts 69% -249
✓ ★ Bryce Eldridge 65% -150
✓ ★ Steven Kwan 65% -245
✓ ★ Randy Arozarena 65% -162
✓ ★ Colson Montgomery 65% -125
✗ ★ Jose Altuve 65% -190
✗ ★ Yainer Diaz 65% -200
✓ ★ Iván Herrera 66% -208
✗ ★ Kyle Schwarber 65% -185
✓ ★ Dylan Beavers 67% -210
✓ ★ Mickey Moniak 67% -225
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✓ ATH@TEX YRFI 52% -105
ctx ✓ ATL@WSH NRFI 51% +110
ctx ✗ BAL@COL YRFI 54% -150
ctx ✓ CHW@HOU NRFI 51% -118
ctx ✗ DET@MIN NRFI 52% -120
ctx ✓ MIA@KC NRFI 52% +100
ctx ✗ MIL@CHC YRFI 53% -135
ctx ✓ NYM@TB YRFI 50% -105
ctx ✗ NYY@LAA NRFI 50% -135
ctx ✗ PHI@ARI NRFI 50% -140
ctx ✗ SD@CIN NRFI 52% +105
ctx ✗ SF@PIT NRFI 50% -145
ctx ✗ STL@LAD YRFI 52% -125
ctx ✓ TOR@CLE NRFI 53% -120
F5 O/U
ctx ✓ CHW@HOU UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✓ DET@MIN OVER 4.5 -115
ctx ✗ NYM@TB OVER 4.5 +100
ctx ✗ NYY@LAA UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✓ TOR@CLE UNDER 4.5 -118
Game O/U
ctx P NYM@TB OVER 8 -105
ctx ✓ SD@CIN UNDER 9.5 -110
ctx ✓ SF@PIT OVER 7.5 -110
ctx ✓ TOR@CLE UNDER 8 -116
ctx ✗ ATL@WSH UNDER 10 -114
ctx ✗ DET@MIN UNDER 8.5 +102
ctx ✓ MIA@KC UNDER 9.5 +100
ctx ✗ MIL@CHC UNDER 10 -110
ctx ✓ ATH@TEX OVER 7.5 +100
ctx ✗ CHW@HOU OVER 8.5 -105
ctx ✓ BAL@COL UNDER 11 -105
ctx ✓ NYY@LAA OVER 7.5 -108
ctx ✓ PHI@ARI OVER 7.5 -115
ctx ✗ STL@LAD UNDER 9 -120
ctx ✓ SEA@BOS OVER 7 -120
Model propsmodel outputs
H+R+RBI
✓ Drake Baldwin OVER 1.5 -203
✗ Gunnar Henderson OVER 1.5 -200
✓ Michael Harris II OVER 1.5 -182
✗ Hunter Goodman OVER 1.5 -145
✓ Ben Rice OVER 1.5 -134
✗ Christian Encarnacion-Strand OVER 1.5 -170
Run Line
ctx ✗ NYM@TB AWAY 1.5 -195
ctx ✓ SD@CIN AWAY 1.5 -280
ctx ✓ SF@PIT AWAY 1.5 -164
ctx ✗ TOR@CLE AWAY 1.5 -140
ctx ✗ ATL@WSH AWAY 1.5 -390
ctx ✓ SEA@BOS AWAY 1.5 -205
ctx ✗ DET@MIN AWAY 1.5 -265
ctx ✓ MIA@KC AWAY 1.5 -190
ctx ✓ MIL@CHC AWAY 1.5 -186
ctx ✗ ATH@TEX AWAY 1.5 -125
ctx ✓ STL@LAD AWAY 1.5 -135
ctx ✓ CHW@HOU AWAY 1.5 -280
ctx ✗ BAL@COL AWAY 1.5 -310
ctx ✓ NYY@LAA AWAY 1.5 -480
ctx ✓ PHI@ARI AWAY 1.5 -340
Mon Aug 31 Winners 0/2· 2 priced Hitters 30/39+10.6% +4.1u HRR 3/6-10.8% -0.7u Day +3.2% +1.5u context Winners 8/10 NRFI 4/11 F5 7/9 Spreads 6/12 Total 5/12
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
✗ Rays 65% -165
✗ Braves 64% -186
ctx ✗ D-backs 54% +108
ctx ✓ Orioles 59% -116
ctx ✓ Red Sox 60% -158
ctx ✓ Cubs 50% -106
ctx ✓ Astros 52% -126
ctx ✓ Twins 54% -116
ctx ✗ Yankees 58% -118
ctx ✓ Padres 55% -138
ctx ✓ Rangers 62% -200
ctx ✓ Nationals 50% +105
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✗ ★ Christian Encarnacion-Strand 76% -360
✓ ★ Gabriel Moreno 76% -260
✓ ★ Brandon Nimmo 73% -210
✓ ★ Jackson Chourio 72% -290
✓ ★ Brady House 69% -182
✗ ★ Wilyer Abreu 74% -240
✗ ★ Jung Hoo Lee 73% -240
✓ ★ Geraldo Perdomo 70% -185
✓ ★ Seiya Suzuki 69% -220
✓ ★ Gleyber Torres 67% -194
✗ ★ Tommy White 67% -150
✓ ★ Otto Lopez 77% -337
✓ ★ Ty France 71% -240
✓ ★ Jackson Merrill 71% -250
✓ ★ Chase Meidroth 67% -160
✓ ★ Nico Hoerner 68% -235
✓ ★ Daylen Lile 73% -260
✓ ★ Dylan Beavers 68% -220
✓ ★ Jeremy Peña 75% -271
✓ ★ Michael Harris II 69% -310
✗ ★ Elly De La Cruz 69% -220
✗ ★ Wyatt Langford 73% -181
✓ ★ Hunter Goodman 68% -225
✓ ★ Ezequiel Duran 72% -176
✓ ★ Bryce Harper 69% -250
✓ ★ Rafael Devers 68% -246
✓ ★ Bryce Eldridge 68% -210
✓ ★ Drake Baldwin 68% -290
✓ ★ Pete Crow-Armstrong 70% -235
✓ ★ Gunnar Henderson 75% -360
✓ ★ T.J. Rumfield 71% -243
✓ ★ Sal Stewart 67% -200
✗ ★ Kyle Schwarber 69% -195
✗ ★ Mauricio Dubón 65% -250
✓ ★ Javier Sanoja 65% -240
✓ ★ Kyle Stowers 66% -200
✓ ★ Coby Mayo 65% -190
✓ ★ Bryson Stott 68% -206
✗ ★ Luis García Jr. 65% -220
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✗ ATH@TEX YRFI 54% +110
ctx ✗ BAL@COL YRFI 52% -140
ctx ✓ CHW@HOU NRFI 51% -118
ctx ✓ DET@MIN YRFI 51% -110
ctx ✗ MIA@WSH YRFI 60% -110
ctx ✗ MIL@CHC NRFI 53% -105
ctx ✗ NYM@TB YRFI 53% -110
ctx ✓ NYY@LAA NRFI 53% -120
ctx ✗ PHI@ARI YRFI 51% -115
ctx ✓ SD@CIN NRFI 51% -110
ctx ✗ SEA@BOS NRFI 50% -145
F5 O/U
ctx ✓ CHW@HOU OVER 4.5 -115
ctx ✓ DET@MIN OVER 4.5 -118
ctx ✗ MIA@WSH UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✓ MIL@CHC OVER 4.5 -115
ctx ✓ NYM@TB UNDER 4.5 -115
ctx ✗ NYY@LAA UNDER 4.5 -118
ctx ✓ SD@CIN UNDER 4.5 -130
ctx ✓ SEA@BOS OVER 4.5 -118
ctx ✓ SF@ATL OVER 4.5 -105
Game O/U
ctx ✗ SF@ATL UNDER 9 -110
ctx ✓ NYM@TB UNDER 8 -110
ctx ✓ SD@CIN UNDER 9 -106
ctx ✗ MIA@WSH UNDER 8.5 +100
ctx ✗ SEA@BOS UNDER 7.5 +100
ctx ✗ DET@MIN UNDER 8.5 -110
ctx ✗ MIL@CHC UNDER 9.5 -112
ctx ✓ ATH@TEX OVER 7.5 +100
ctx ✗ CHW@HOU UNDER 8.5 -112
ctx ✗ NYY@LAA UNDER 8 -105
ctx ✓ PHI@ARI UNDER 8.5 -115
ctx ✓ BAL@COL UNDER 11 -108
Model propsmodel outputs
H+R+RBI
✗ Christian Encarnacion-Strand OVER 1.5 -200
✗ Gunnar Henderson OVER 1.5 -200
✗ Otto Lopez OVER 1.5 -150
✓ Coby Mayo OVER 1.5 -120
✓ Gabriel Moreno OVER 1.5 -124
✓ Hunter Goodman OVER 1.5 -140
Run Line
ctx ✓ SF@ATL AWAY 1.5 -125
ctx ✓ NYM@TB AWAY 1.5 -145
ctx ✓ SD@CIN AWAY 1.5 -330
ctx ✗ MIA@WSH AWAY 1.5 -290
ctx ✓ SEA@BOS AWAY 1.5 -145
ctx ✗ DET@MIN AWAY 1.5 -190
ctx ✗ MIL@CHC AWAY 1.5 -205
ctx ✗ ATH@TEX AWAY 1.5 -120
ctx ✗ CHW@HOU AWAY 1.5 -186
ctx ✓ BAL@COL AWAY 1.5 -295
ctx ✗ NYY@LAA AWAY 1.5 -290
ctx ✓ PHI@ARI AWAY 1.5 -265
Sun Aug 30 Winners 2/3+1.6% +0.1u Hitters 28/42-0.8% -0.3u Day -0.6% -0.3u context Winners 6/10 NRFI 8/13 F5 5/9 Spreads 10/14 Total 6/13
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
✓ Braves 65% -224
✓ Phillies 64% -166
✗ Brewers 63% -158
ctx ✓ Orioles 59% -142
ctx ✗ Cubs 57% -148
ctx ✗ White Sox 55% +106
ctx ✓ Guardians 62% -178
ctx ✓ Dodgers 60% -150
ctx ✓ Yankees 52% +111
ctx ✓ Pirates 51% -118
ctx ✗ Mariners 54% -132
ctx ✓ Rays 59% -157
ctx ✗ Nationals 52% -114
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✗ ★ Yordan Alvarez 80% -293
✗ ★ Chandler Simpson 72% -230
✓ ★ Otto Lopez 78% -308
✗ ★ Josh Naylor 78% -210
✓ ★ Jeremy Peña 78% -240
✓ ★ Freddie Freeman 77% -210
✓ ★ Miguel Vargas 71% -210
✓ ★ T.J. Rumfield 73% -150
✓ ★ Brett Bateman 73% -190
✓ ★ Kaelen Culpepper 70% -159
✓ ★ Henry Bolte 72% -260
✓ ★ Daylen Lile 72% -250
✓ ★ Steven Kwan 72% -250
✓ ★ Junior Caminero 69% -210
✗ ★ Wyatt Langford 68% -193
✓ ★ Elly De La Cruz 70% -200
✓ ★ Hunter Goodman 71% -169
✓ ★ Jeff McNeil 70% -286
✓ ★ José Ramírez 70% -220
✗ ★ Travis Bazzana 70% -159
✓ ★ Mookie Betts 70% -225
✓ ★ Sal Stewart 69% -226
✓ ★ Pete Crow-Armstrong 69% -225
✗ ★ Christian Encarnacion-Strand 69% -274
✗ ★ Seiya Suzuki 69% -200
✗ ★ Dominic Canzone 69% -222
✗ ★ Tommy Edman 69% -225
✓ ★ Bryan Reynolds 73% -211
✓ ★ Bryce Harper 67% -200
✓ ★ Bryson Stott 66% -175
✗ ★ Jordan Walker 72% -210
✓ ★ Luis García Jr. 69% -230
✓ ★ Jose Altuve 73% -210
✗ ★ Christian Yelich 69% -200
✗ ★ Dylan Crews 67% -190
✓ ★ Jonathan Aranda 69% -185
✗ ★ Javier Sanoja 66% -250
✗ ★ Abimelec Ortiz 66% -210
✓ ★ Ezequiel Duran 67% -175
✓ ★ Jac Caglianone 66% -182
✓ ★ Tristan Peters 66% -163
✓ ★ Josh Bell 66% -190
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✓ BAL@ATH YRFI 53% -140
ctx ✓ BOS@NYY NRFI 50% -130
ctx ✗ CHW@MIN NRFI 50% -110
ctx ✓ CIN@CHC YRFI 51% -118
ctx ✗ COL@ATL YRFI 50% -110
ctx ✗ KC@CLE NRFI 51% -135
ctx ✗ LAD@DET YRFI 53% +115
ctx ✓ MIA@WSH NRFI 55% -110
ctx ✗ PHI@LAA NRFI 52% -135
ctx ✓ PIT@STL NRFI 50% -130
ctx ✓ SD@TB NRFI 53% -140
ctx ✓ SEA@TOR YRFI 61% -102
ctx ✓ TEX@MIL YRFI 53% -110
F5 O/U
ctx ✓ BOS@NYY OVER 4.5 -130
ctx ✓ CHW@MIN UNDER 4.5 +100
ctx ✗ CIN@CHC UNDER 4.5 +106
ctx ✓ COL@ATL UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✗ KC@CLE UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✓ MIA@WSH UNDER 4.5 -125
ctx ✓ PIT@STL OVER 4.5 -130
ctx ✗ SEA@TOR OVER 4.5 -105
ctx ✗ TEX@MIL UNDER 4.5 -115
Game O/U
ctx ✓ MIA@WSH UNDER 9 +100
ctx ✗ BOS@NYY UNDER 8 -110
ctx ✓ COL@ATL UNDER 8.5 -115
ctx ✓ SEA@TOR UNDER 8 -110
ctx ✓ KC@CLE OVER 7.5 -105
ctx ✗ LAD@DET OVER 7.5 +102
ctx ✗ SD@TB UNDER 7.5 -125
ctx ✓ CHW@MIN UNDER 8.5 -102
ctx ✗ TEX@MIL UNDER 8.5 -110
ctx ✓ PIT@STL OVER 7.5 -115
ctx ✗ CIN@CHC UNDER 9 +101
ctx ✗ BAL@ATH UNDER 10 +100
ctx ✗ PHI@LAA OVER 7.5 -107
Model propsmodel outputs
Run Line
ctx ✓ MIA@WSH AWAY 1.5 -230
ctx ✗ BOS@NYY AWAY 1.5 -280
ctx ✓ COL@ATL AWAY 1.5 -105
ctx ✗ SEA@TOR AWAY 1.5 -320
ctx ✗ KC@CLE AWAY 1.5 -135
ctx ✓ LAD@DET AWAY 1.5 -400
ctx ✓ SD@TB AWAY 1.5 -154
ctx ✗ CHW@MIN AWAY 1.5 -195
ctx ✓ TEX@MIL AWAY 1.5 -140
ctx ✓ PIT@STL AWAY 1.5 -280
ctx ✓ CIN@CHC AWAY 1.5 -155
ctx ✓ BAL@ATH AWAY 1.5 -340
ctx ✓ PHI@LAA AWAY 1.5 -430
ctx ✓ HOU@NYM AWAY 1.5 -180
Sat Aug 29 Winners 1/1· 1 priced Hitters 32/52-8.6% -4.5u HRR 0/1· 1 priced Day -9.3% -5.0u context Winners 9/13 NRFI 7/13 F5 4/8 Spreads 11/16 Total 4/11
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
V Braves 68% -218
✓ Phillies 65% -225
ctx ✓ Orioles 62% -136
ctx ✓ Cubs 59% -180
ctx ✓ White Sox 52% +108
ctx ✗ Guardians 57% -142
ctx ✗ Dodgers 58% -176
ctx ✓ Brewers 61% -156
ctx ✓ Mets 54% -128
ctx ✓ Yankees (G2) 53% -104
ctx ✗ Yankees (G1) 55% -104
ctx ✗ Cardinals 56% -118
ctx ✓ Rays 62% -126
ctx ✓ Blue Jays 56% -108
ctx ✓ Nationals 51% -104
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✓ ★ Drake Baldwin 78% -300
✓ ★ Carson Benge 76% -200
✗ ★ Luis Arraez 82% -280
✓ ★ Mauricio Dubón 76% -235
✓ ★ Otto Lopez 77% -225
✓ ★ Jonathan Aranda 73% -235
✗ ★ Ozzie Albies 75% -235
✓ ★ Jackson Chourio 75% -274
✓ ★ Rafael Devers (G2) 73% -180
✗ ★ Xavier Edwards 72% -225
✓ ★ Jac Caglianone 69% -190
✓ ★ Yordan Alvarez 71% -240
✓ ★ Francisco Lindor 71% -185
✗ ★ Wyatt Langford 71% -190
✗ ★ Kaelen Culpepper 74% -179
✓ ★ Elly De La Cruz 74% -203
✗ ★ Pete Alonso 74% -304
✗ ★ Chase Meidroth 73% -174
✓ ★ Daylen Lile 68% -228
✓ ★ Ezequiel Duran 69% -160
✓ ★ Sal Stewart 72% -235
✓ ★ Kyle Stowers 66% -185
✓ ★ Chandler Simpson 76% -250
✓ ★ Seiya Suzuki 71% -240
✓ ★ Fernando Tatis Jr. 75% -260
✓ ★ Freddie Freeman 69% -247
✓ ★ Gleyber Torres 69% -141
✓ ★ Junior Caminero 73% -225
✗ ★ Miguel Vargas 70% -200
✗ ★ Sam Antonacci 69% -250
✓ ★ Christian Yelich 67% -180
✓ ★ Zach Neto 68% -185
✗ ★ Jordan Walker 69% -205
✗ ★ Ben Rice (G1) 68% -175
✗ ★ Eduardo Valencia 68% -107
✗ ★ Brooks Lee 68% -240
✓ ★ Henry Bolte 69% -241
✗ ★ Alec Burleson 68% -260
✓ ★ Josh Naylor 68% -210
✓ ★ Jeff McNeil 67% -290
✓ ★ T.J. Rumfield 68% -185
✗ ★ Jackson Merrill 68% -200
✗ ★ Michael Busch 67% -210
✓ ★ Jeremy Peña 68% -195
✓ ★ Christian Encarnacion-Strand 72% -260
✗ ★ Ceddanne Rafaela (G2) 69% -196
✗ ★ Hunter Goodman 66% -200
✓ ★ Marcus Semien 66% -139
✗ ★ Bryce Harper 71% -227
✓ ★ Jake Burger 65% -160
✗ ★ Mike Trout 66% -175
✓ ★ Bryce Eldridge (G2) 72% -161
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✗ BAL@ATH YRFI 57% -135
ctx ✓ BOS@NYY (G2) NRFI 56% -145
ctx ✗ BOS@NYY (G1) NRFI 55% -145
ctx ✓ CHW@MIN YRFI 51% -130
ctx ✓ CIN@CHC YRFI 52% -125
ctx V COL@ATL YRFI 51% -130
ctx ✓ KC@CLE NRFI 51% -125
ctx ✓ LAD@DET NRFI 55% -140
ctx ✓ MIA@WSH NRFI 51% -145
ctx ✗ PHI@LAA YRFI 52% -102
ctx ✗ PIT@STL NRFI 55% -120
ctx ✗ SD@TB NRFI 53% -120
ctx ✓ SEA@TOR NRFI 56% -135
ctx ✗ TEX@MIL NRFI 53% -118
F5 O/U
ctx ✗ CIN@CHC UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✓ HOU@NYM OVER 4.5 -102
ctx ✓ KC@CLE UNDER 4.5 -125
ctx ✗ PHI@LAA OVER 4.5 -105
ctx ✗ PIT@STL UNDER 4.5 -118
ctx ✓ SD@TB UNDER 4.5 -118
ctx ✓ SEA@TOR OVER 4.5 -118
ctx ✗ TEX@MIL OVER 4.5 -115
Game O/U
ctx ✓ BOS@NYY (G1) UNDER 8 -115
ctx ✓ LAD@DET UNDER 7 +101
ctx ✓ CHW@MIN UNDER 9 +100
ctx P PIT@STL UNDER 8 -102
ctx ✗ CIN@CHC UNDER 9 +100
ctx ✗ SEA@TOR OVER 7.5 -108
ctx ✗ MIA@WSH UNDER 8 -113
ctx V COL@ATL UNDER 9 -110
ctx P HOU@NYM UNDER 8 -110
ctx ✗ KC@CLE UNDER 8 -114
ctx ✗ SD@TB UNDER 8 -110
ctx P TEX@MIL UNDER 8 +100
ctx ✗ BAL@ATH OVER 9.5 -115
ctx ✓ PHI@LAA UNDER 8 -110
ctx ✗ BOS@NYY (G2) UNDER 7.5 -107
Model propsmodel outputs
H+R+RBI
✗ Pete Alonso OVER 1.5 -174
Run Line
ctx ✓ BOS@NYY (G1) AWAY 1.5 -190
ctx ✓ LAD@DET AWAY 1.5 -430
ctx ✓ CHW@MIN AWAY 1.5 -195
ctx ✓ PIT@STL AWAY 1.5 -205
ctx ✗ CIN@CHC AWAY 1.5 -130
ctx ✓ SEA@TOR AWAY 1.5 -205
ctx ✓ MIA@WSH AWAY 1.5 -195
ctx V COL@ATL AWAY 1.5 -105
ctx ✗ HOU@NYM AWAY 1.5 -178
ctx ✓ KC@CLE AWAY 1.5 -168
ctx ✓ SD@TB AWAY 1.5 -188
ctx ✗ TEX@MIL AWAY 1.5 -155
ctx ✓ ARI@SF (G1) AWAY 1.5 -250
ctx ✗ BOS@NYY (G2) AWAY 1.5 -184
ctx ✗ ARI@SF (G2) AWAY 1.5 -310
ctx ✓ BAL@ATH AWAY 1.5 -320
ctx ✓ PHI@LAA AWAY 1.5 -590
Fri Aug 28 Winners 2/2· 2 priced Hitters 31/45+2.3% +1.0u HRR 0/1· 1 priced Day +2.2% +1.1u context Winners 10/12 NRFI 10/14 F5 7/8 Spreads 9/15 Total 6/13
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
✓ Braves 67% -218
✓ Brewers 63% -174
ctx ✓ D-backs 53% -126
ctx ✓ Orioles 57% -108
ctx ✗ Cubs 60% -180
ctx ✓ White Sox 50% +116
ctx ✗ Guardians 56% -126
ctx ✓ Astros 51% -105
ctx ✓ Dodgers 60% -180
ctx ✓ Yankees 60% -148
ctx ✓ Phillies 54% -128
ctx ✓ Cardinals 52% +106
ctx ✓ Rays 58% -126
ctx ✓ Blue Jays 56% -137
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✓ ★ Drake Baldwin 76% -315
✗ ★ Yordan Alvarez 74% -230
✓ ★ Jeremy Peña 72% -225
✓ ★ Elly De La Cruz 75% -199
✓ ★ Seiya Suzuki 75% -243
✓ ★ Carson Benge 72% -172
✓ ★ Kaelen Culpepper 75% -162
✗ ★ Zach Neto 73% -181
✓ ★ Freddie Freeman 74% -220
✓ ★ Sal Stewart 73% -205
✗ ★ Alec Burleson 72% -220
✓ ★ Ceddanne Rafaela 66% -194
✗ ★ Pete Alonso 73% -270
✓ ★ Michael Busch 72% -210
✓ ★ Tommy White 73% -235
✓ ★ Ben Rice 77% -155
✓ ★ Mauricio Dubón 74% -250
✓ ★ Ozzie Albies 73% -210
✓ ★ Mike Trout 70% -167
✓ ★ Christian Encarnacion-Strand 70% -220
✓ ★ Brett Bateman 75% -210
✗ ★ Henry Bolte 70% -264
✗ ★ Wyatt Langford 68% -148
✓ ★ Chandler Simpson 72% -219
✗ ★ JJ Wetherholt 67% -175
✓ ★ Brooks Lee 69% -230
✗ ★ Ezequiel Duran 66% -139
✓ ★ T.J. Rumfield 70% -176
✓ ★ Jac Caglianone 69% -210
✓ ★ Geraldo Perdomo 70% -185
✗ ★ Sam Antonacci 68% -229
✓ ★ Junior Caminero 69% -235
✓ ★ Mookie Betts 67% -220
✓ ★ Rafael Devers 69% -180
✗ ★ Steven Kwan 67% -221
✓ ★ Chase Meidroth 71% -198
✓ ★ Fernando Tatis Jr. 66% -220
✗ ★ Dillon Dingler 65% -155
✗ ★ José Ramírez 65% -195
✗ ★ Travis Bazzana 65% -156
✓ ★ Yainer Diaz 66% -195
✓ ★ George Springer 65% -210
✗ ★ Iván Herrera 65% -190
✓ ★ Miguel Vargas 68% -200
✓ ★ Jeff McNeil 67% -270
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✓ ARI@SF YRFI 55% -110
ctx ✓ BAL@ATH NRFI 52% -105
ctx ✓ BOS@NYY NRFI 52% -140
ctx ✓ CHW@MIN YRFI 54% -125
ctx ✓ CIN@CHC YRFI 55% -115
ctx ✗ COL@ATL YRFI 52% -125
ctx ✓ HOU@NYM NRFI 52% -125
ctx ✓ KC@CLE NRFI 52% -130
ctx ✓ LAD@DET NRFI 55% -150
ctx ✓ PHI@LAA YRFI 51% -110
ctx ✗ PIT@STL YRFI 52% -105
ctx ✓ SD@TB NRFI 54% -130
ctx ✗ SEA@TOR NRFI 52% -155
ctx ✗ TEX@MIL NRFI 52% -135
F5 O/U
ctx ✓ ARI@SF OVER 4.5 -114
ctx ✓ CHW@MIN OVER 4.5 -118
ctx ✓ CIN@CHC OVER 4.5 -130
ctx ✓ HOU@NYM UNDER 4.5 -130
ctx ✗ KC@CLE OVER 4.5 -125
ctx ✓ PHI@LAA UNDER 4.5 -105
ctx ✓ PIT@STL UNDER 4.5 -118
ctx ✓ TEX@MIL UNDER 4.5 -110
Game O/U
ctx ✗ CIN@CHC UNDER 9 -122
ctx ✓ LAD@DET UNDER 7.5 -120
ctx ✗ HOU@NYM OVER 7.5 -120
ctx ✗ KC@CLE OVER 7.5 +105
ctx ✗ SD@TB UNDER 7.5 -118
ctx ✓ BOS@NYY UNDER 7 +100
ctx ✓ COL@ATL OVER 8.5 -124
ctx ✓ TEX@MIL UNDER 7.5 -105
ctx ✓ CHW@MIN OVER 8.5 -118
ctx ✗ PIT@STL OVER 7.5 -105
ctx P PHI@LAA UNDER 8 -105
ctx ✗ ARI@SF UNDER 8 -105
ctx ✓ BAL@ATH UNDER 9.5 -114
ctx ✗ SEA@TOR UNDER 7 -118
Model propsmodel outputs
H+R+RBI
✗ Pete Alonso OVER 1.5 -167
Run Line
ctx ✓ CIN@CHC AWAY 1.5 -130
ctx ✓ LAD@DET AWAY 1.5 -520
ctx ✗ MIA@WSH AWAY 1.5 -340
ctx ✓ HOU@NYM AWAY 1.5 -265
ctx ✓ KC@CLE AWAY 1.5 -190
ctx ✗ SD@TB AWAY 1.5 -190
ctx ✓ BOS@NYY AWAY 1.5 -160
ctx ✗ COL@ATL AWAY 1.5 -110
ctx ✗ TEX@MIL AWAY 1.5 -140
ctx ✓ CHW@MIN AWAY 1.5 -190
ctx ✗ SEA@TOR AWAY 1.5 -170
ctx ✗ PIT@STL AWAY 1.5 -265
ctx ✓ PHI@LAA AWAY 1.5 -295
ctx ✓ BAL@ATH AWAY 1.5 -245
ctx ✓ ARI@SF AWAY 1.5 -310
Thu Aug 27 Winners 1/1· 1 priced Hitters 13/18+7.2% +1.3u Day +9.7% +1.8u context Winners 3/6 NRFI 2/6 F5 0/4 Spreads 4/7 Total 2/7
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
✓ Brewers 65% -186
ctx ✗ D-backs 55% -105
ctx ✓ Braves 53% -119
ctx ✗ Yankees 61% -153
ctx ✓ Cardinals 55% +114
ctx ✗ Blue Jays 54% -102
ctx ✓ Nationals 59% -141
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✗ ★ Luis García Jr. 76% -235
✗ ★ William Contreras 72% -235
✓ ★ Ben Rice 73% -220
✗ ★ Jake McCarthy 74% -290
✓ ★ Daylen Lile 73% -321
✓ ★ Andrew Vaughn 66% -210
✓ ★ Alec Burleson 73% -212
✓ ★ Jordan Walker 73% -238
✓ ★ Jeremy Peña 72% -215
✓ ★ Jazz Chisholm Jr. 68% -143
✓ ★ Dylan Crews 67% -225
✗ ★ Iván Herrera 67% -220
✗ ★ Yordan Alvarez 75% -210
V ★ Christian Yelich 67% -189
✓ ★ Bobby Witt Jr. 65% -250
✓ ★ George Springer 65% -200
✓ ★ Yainer Diaz 66% -169
✓ ★ Luis Lara 65% -185
✓ ★ Michael Harris II 65% -190
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✗ ARI@SF NRFI 53% -125
ctx ✓ COL@WSH YRFI 57% -140
ctx ✓ HOU@NYY NRFI 53% -125
ctx ✗ KC@TOR NRFI 53% -120
ctx ✗ LAD@ATL NRFI 54% -180
ctx ✗ MIL@NYM NRFI 52% -155
F5 O/U
ctx ✗ ARI@SF OVER 4.5 -105
ctx ✗ BAL@STL UNDER 4.5 +100
ctx ✗ HOU@NYY OVER 4.5 -102
ctx ✗ KC@TOR OVER 4.5 -110
Game O/U
ctx ✗ COL@WSH OVER 9.5 -118
ctx ✓ HOU@NYY UNDER 8 -102
ctx ✗ KC@TOR UNDER 8 -102
ctx ✗ MIL@NYM UNDER 7 -105
ctx ✗ LAD@ATL OVER 6.5 -104
ctx ✓ ARI@SF UNDER 8 -112
ctx ✗ BAL@STL UNDER 8 -110
Model propsmodel outputs
Run Line
ctx ✗ COL@WSH AWAY 1.5 -170
ctx ✓ HOU@NYY AWAY 1.5 -150
ctx ✓ KC@TOR AWAY 1.5 -250
ctx ✓ MIL@NYM AWAY 1.5 -560
ctx ✓ LAD@ATL AWAY 1.5 -210
ctx ✗ BAL@STL AWAY 1.5 -310
ctx ✗ ARI@SF AWAY 1.5 -265
Wed Aug 26 Hitters 28/47-11.4% -5.3u Day -11.4% -5.3u context Winners 10/14 NRFI 8/14 F5 7/11 Spreads 7/14 Total 7/14
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
ctx ✓ D-backs 54% -104
ctx ✓ Athletics 51% +125
ctx ✓ Braves 50% +116
ctx ✗ Red Sox 55% -128
ctx ✓ White Sox 58% -118
ctx ✓ Guardians 62% -134
ctx ✗ Tigers 53% -114
ctx ✓ Brewers 60% -145
ctx ✓ Yankees 55% -116
ctx ✓ Phillies 54% -122
ctx ✓ Padres 57% -128
ctx V Giants 50% -104
ctx ✗ Cardinals 54% -101
ctx ✓ Blue Jays 53% -145
ctx ✗ Nationals 56% -122
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✓ ★ Otto Lopez 77% -235
✓ ★ Xavier Edwards 72% -225
✗ ★ Seiya Suzuki 69% -240
✓ ★ Brett Bateman 80% -235
✗ ★ Daylen Lile 75% -264
✗ ★ Kevin McGonigle 73% -210
✓ ★ Jake McCarthy 73% -277
✓ ★ Jordan Lawlar 67% -160
✗ ★ Luis Arraez 76% -260
✗ ★ Mickey Gasper 69% -169
✗ ★ Michael Harris II 73% -220
✓ ★ Yordan Alvarez 71% -245
✓ ★ Pete Alonso 71% -250
✓ ★ Carson Benge 71% -190
✓ ★ Chandler Simpson 71% -245
✓ ★ George Springer 70% -214
✗ ★ Ceddanne Rafaela 77% -290
✓ ★ Bryan Reynolds 72% -205
✗ ★ Willi Castro 69% -165
✓ ★ Steven Kwan 73% -240
✓ ★ Dylan Crews 69% -225
✓ ★ Kaelen Culpepper 70% -210
✓ ★ Ozzie Albies 68% -160
✗ ★ Luke Keaschall 65% -320
✗ ★ Nick Sogard 72% -230
✗ ★ Corbin Carroll 70% -225
✗ ★ Fernando Tatis Jr. 70% -250
✗ ★ Jo Adell 71% -210
✓ ★ Travis Bazzana 71% -165
✓ ★ Junior Caminero 68% -195
✓ ★ Wyatt Langford 67% -175
✓ ★ Ezequiel Duran 66% -159
✓ ★ Alec Burleson 73% -240
✓ ★ Jordan Walker 73% -220
✓ ★ Randy Arozarena 68% -160
✓ ★ Geraldo Perdomo 68% -215
✗ ★ Alejandro Kirk 72% -216
✓ ★ Elly De La Cruz 67% -211
✗ ★ Sal Stewart 67% -235
✗ ★ Brandon Marsh 67% -162
✓ ★ Mauricio Dubón 68% -198
✓ ★ Zach Neto 67% -200
✗ ★ Jeremy Peña 69% -248
✓ ★ JJ Wetherholt 67% -210
✗ ★ Michael Busch 66% -210
✗ ★ Henry Bolte 70% -298
✓ ★ Luis García Jr. 65% -205
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✗ BAL@STL NRFI 53% -118
ctx ✗ BOS@MIA NRFI 52% -140
ctx ✗ CHC@ARI YRFI 54% -105
ctx V CIN@SF NRFI 53% -130
ctx ✓ CLE@LAA YRFI 52% -110
ctx ✓ COL@WSH NRFI 50% -105
ctx ✓ HOU@NYY YRFI 52% -115
ctx ✓ KC@TOR NRFI 55% -120
ctx ✗ LAD@ATL NRFI 56% -110
ctx ✗ MIL@NYM YRFI 53% -110
ctx ✓ MIN@ATH YRFI 52% -140
ctx ✗ PHI@SEA NRFI 53% -150
ctx ✓ PIT@SD NRFI 50% -115
ctx ✓ TB@DET NRFI 52% -135
ctx ✓ TEX@CHW NRFI 50% -135
F5 O/U
ctx ✗ BAL@STL UNDER 4.5 +100
ctx ✓ BOS@MIA UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✓ CHC@ARI UNDER 4.5 -115
ctx V CIN@SF OVER 4.5 -125
ctx ✓ CLE@LAA UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✓ COL@WSH OVER 4.5 -115
ctx ✓ KC@TOR UNDER 4.5 -125
ctx ✗ LAD@ATL UNDER 4.5 +100
ctx ✗ MIL@NYM UNDER 4.5 -105
ctx ✓ PIT@SD UNDER 4.5 +100
ctx ✓ TB@DET UNDER 4.5 -110
ctx ✗ TEX@CHW UNDER 4.5 -110
Game O/U
ctx ✓ TB@DET UNDER 7.5 -112
ctx ✓ CHC@ARI UNDER 8.5 +100
ctx V CIN@SF OVER 7.5 -110
ctx ✓ CLE@LAA UNDER 8.5 -110
ctx ✗ PHI@SEA OVER 7 +105
ctx ✓ PIT@SD UNDER 8.5 -115
ctx ✓ BOS@MIA UNDER 7.5 +100
ctx ✓ COL@WSH OVER 9 +100
ctx ✓ KC@TOR UNDER 8.5 +100
ctx ✗ MIL@NYM UNDER 8.5 -119
ctx ✗ LAD@ATL UNDER 8.5 +100
ctx ✗ TEX@CHW UNDER 8 -110
ctx ✗ BAL@STL UNDER 8.5 -114
ctx ✗ MIN@ATH UNDER 10 +100
ctx ✗ HOU@NYY UNDER 9 -118
Model propsmodel outputs
Run Line
ctx ✓ TB@DET AWAY 1.5 -207
ctx ✗ CHC@ARI AWAY 1.5 -220
ctx V CIN@SF AWAY 1.5 -220
ctx ✓ CLE@LAA AWAY 1.5 -310
ctx ✓ PHI@SEA AWAY 1.5 -320
ctx ✗ PIT@SD AWAY 1.5 -176
ctx ✗ BOS@MIA AWAY 1.5 -350
ctx ✓ COL@WSH AWAY 1.5 -190
ctx ✗ HOU@NYY AWAY 1.5 -190
ctx ✗ KC@TOR AWAY 1.5 -154
ctx ✓ MIL@NYM AWAY 1.5 -360
ctx ✓ LAD@ATL AWAY 1.5 -295
ctx ✗ TEX@CHW AWAY 1.5 -195
ctx ✓ BAL@STL AWAY 1.5 -225
ctx ✗ MIN@ATH AWAY 1.5 -310
Tue Aug 25 Hitters 31/43+6.1% +2.6u HRR 0/1· 1 priced Day +3.7% +1.6u context Winners 3/13 NRFI 6/13 F5 2/7 Spreads 10/15 Total 5/13
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
ctx ✓ Red Sox 52% -140
ctx ✗ Cubs 54% -104
ctx ✓ White Sox 54% +100
ctx ✗ Reds 51% -102
ctx ✓ Guardians 53% -140
ctx ✗ Dodgers 52% -148
ctx ✗ Brewers 60% -156
ctx ✗ Twins 58% -144
ctx ✗ Phillies 50% +100
ctx ✗ Padres 59% -118
ctx ✗ Cardinals 54% -124
ctx ✗ Rays 57% -125
ctx ✗ Blue Jays 51% -124
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✗ ★ Jordan Walker 77% -218
✗ ★ Jackson Chourio 77% -281
✓ ★ Yordan Alvarez 76% -251
✓ ★ Josh Naylor 74% -185
✓ ★ Salvador Perez 69% -190
✓ ★ JJ Wetherholt 71% -220
✓ ★ Elly De La Cruz 72% -228
✓ ★ Brett Bateman 77% -210
✓ ★ Otto Lopez 74% -225
✗ ★ Luke Keaschall 71% -290
✓ ★ Ceddanne Rafaela 73% -300
✓ ★ Carson Benge 67% -175
✗ ★ Freddie Freeman 73% -269
✓ ★ Ernie Clement 75% -210
✓ ★ Jake McCarthy 72% -292
✓ ★ Sal Stewart 71% -250
✓ ★ Ezequiel Duran 69% -183
✓ ★ Brandon Marsh 73% -165
✓ ★ Alec Burleson 77% -290
✓ ★ William Contreras 73% -227
✓ ★ Vinnie Pasquantino 72% -185
✗ ★ Randy Arozarena 73% -180
✓ ★ Nick Gonzales 71% -200
✓ ★ Pete Alonso 73% -224
✓ ★ Bryce Harper 70% -205
✗ ★ Kevin McGonigle 71% -175
✓ ★ Kaelen Culpepper 76% -200
✓ ★ Fernando Tatis Jr. 70% -235
✗ ★ Michael Massey 70% -170
✗ ★ Nick Sogard 69% -210
✓ ★ Isaac Paredes 69% -170
✓ ★ Yainer Diaz 67% -185
✓ ★ Luis Arraez 81% -290
✓ ★ Wyatt Langford 70% -200
✓ ★ Xavier Edwards 68% -165
✓ ★ Seiya Suzuki 71% -225
✗ ★ Ryan Jeffers 70% -275
✓ ★ Andrew Vaughn 68% -214
✗ ★ Kazuma Okamoto 67% -175
✓ ★ Mookie Betts 65% -294
✓ ★ Willi Castro 67% -185
✗ ★ Corey Seager 65% -185
✗ ★ Brandon Lowe 65% -175
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✗ BAL@STL YRFI 51% -105
ctx ✗ BOS@MIA YRFI 51% +120
ctx ✓ CHC@ARI NRFI 51% -120
ctx ✓ CIN@SF YRFI 54% -105
ctx ✗ CLE@LAA NRFI 55% -160
ctx ✓ KC@TOR YRFI 61% -115
ctx ✗ LAD@ATL NRFI 51% -115
ctx ✗ MIL@NYM YRFI 51% +105
ctx ✓ MIN@ATH NRFI 50% +100
ctx ✗ PHI@SEA YRFI 52% -105
ctx ✓ PIT@SD NRFI 52% -145
ctx ✗ TB@DET YRFI 51% +100
ctx ✓ TEX@CHW YRFI 51% +110
F5 O/U
ctx ✓ BAL@STL OVER 4.5 -105
ctx ✗ CHC@ARI OVER 4.5 -105
ctx ✗ CIN@SF OVER 4.5 -104
ctx ✗ KC@TOR OVER 4.5 -105
ctx ✗ LAD@ATL UNDER 4.5 -102
ctx ✗ MIL@NYM OVER 4.5 -115
ctx ✓ TB@DET UNDER 4.5 -105
Game O/U
ctx ✗ TB@DET OVER 7.5 -105
ctx ✗ KC@TOR OVER 8.5 -120
ctx ✓ MIL@NYM UNDER 7.5 -115
ctx ✓ LAD@ATL UNDER 8.5 +100
ctx ✓ TEX@CHW OVER 7.5 +105
ctx ✗ CLE@LAA UNDER 7.5 -124
ctx ✗ CHC@ARI UNDER 8.5 -115
ctx ✓ MIN@ATH UNDER 9.5 +105
ctx ✗ PHI@SEA OVER 7.5 -110
ctx ✗ PIT@SD OVER 7.5 +105
ctx ✗ CIN@SF OVER 8 -110
ctx ✗ BOS@MIA UNDER 7 +100
ctx ✓ BAL@STL OVER 8.5 -102
Model propsmodel outputs
H+R+RBI
✗ Ryan Jeffers OVER 1.5 -165
Run Line
ctx ✗ TB@DET AWAY 1.5 -295
ctx ✓ COL@WSH AWAY 1.5 -140
ctx ✓ HOU@NYY AWAY 1.5 -160
ctx ✓ KC@TOR AWAY 1.5 -190
ctx ✓ MIL@NYM AWAY 1.5 -400
ctx ✓ LAD@ATL AWAY 1.5 -310
ctx ✗ TEX@CHW AWAY 1.5 -280
ctx ✓ BAL@STL AWAY 1.5 -190
ctx ✗ PHI@SEA AWAY 1.5 -220
ctx ✗ CIN@SF AWAY 1.5 -220
ctx ✓ BOS@MIA AWAY 1.5 -390
ctx ✓ CLE@LAA AWAY 1.5 -360
ctx ✓ CHC@ARI AWAY 1.5 -260
ctx ✗ MIN@ATH AWAY 1.5 -340
ctx ✓ PIT@SD AWAY 1.5 -208
Mon Aug 24 Winners 1/1· 1 priced Hitters 23/34-2.8% -0.9u HRR 0/1· 1 priced Day -3.9% -1.4u context Winners 4/9 NRFI 5/9 F5 3/3 Spreads 7/10 Total 6/10
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
✓ Nationals 64% -180
ctx ✓ Cubs 53% -138
ctx ✗ White Sox 55% -126
ctx ✗ Reds 62% -154
ctx ✓ Guardians 59% -156
ctx ✗ Marlins 50% +115
ctx ✓ Twins 57% -150
ctx ✗ Phillies 54% -108
ctx ✗ Padres 59% -102
ctx ✓ Rays 60% -128
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✓ ★ Ceddanne Rafaela 72% -249
✓ ★ Junior Caminero 72% -240
✓ ★ Elly De La Cruz 78% -225
✗ ★ Pete Crow-Armstrong 74% -300
✗ ★ Gabriel Moreno 74% -250
✓ ★ Yandy Díaz 77% -295
✓ ★ Alex Bregman 72% -225
✓ ★ Chandler Simpson 76% -295
✓ ★ Henry Bolte 69% -330
✓ ★ Sal Stewart 77% -275
✗ ★ Michael Busch 70% -225
✓ ★ Jake McCarthy 71% -220
✓ ★ Keibert Ruiz 71% -200
✗ ★ Corbin Carroll 69% -220
✓ ★ Luke Keaschall 67% -290
✗ ★ Fernando Tatis Jr. 72% -275
✓ ★ Jo Adell 68% -190
✗ ★ Ryan Waldschmidt 67% -125
✓ ★ Xavier Edwards 69% -200
✓ ★ Nick Gonzales 71% -225
✓ ★ Ezequiel Duran 70% -177
V ★ Chase DeLauter 74% -250
✓ ★ Nick Sogard 68% -210
✗ ★ Willson Contreras 68% -185
✓ ★ Luis Arraez 74% -238
✓ ★ Kevin McGonigle 67% -220
✓ ★ Miguel Vargas 67% -190
✗ ★ JJ Bleday 69% -148
✓ ★ Willi Castro 66% -155
✗ ★ Dylan Crews 66% -200
✓ ★ Corey Seager 66% -200
✓ ★ Ryan Jeffers 66% -300
✓ ★ Jeff McNeil 66% -327
✗ ★ Brandon Lowe 66% -135
✗ ★ Oneil Cruz 66% -120
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✓ BOS@MIA NRFI 51% -150
ctx ✗ CHC@ARI YRFI 52% -125
ctx ✓ CIN@SF YRFI 50% +118
ctx ✗ CLE@LAA YRFI 51% +100
ctx ✗ COL@WSH YRFI 51% -105
ctx ✓ MIN@ATH YRFI 55% -150
ctx ✗ PHI@SEA NRFI 52% -160
ctx ✓ PIT@SD NRFI 53% -130
ctx ✓ TB@DET YRFI 51% +105
F5 O/U
ctx ✓ CLE@LAA UNDER 4.5 -105
ctx ✓ COL@WSH OVER 4.5 +100
ctx ✓ TEX@CHW OVER 4.5 -110
Game O/U
ctx ✓ BOS@MIA UNDER 7.5 -115
ctx ✓ TB@DET UNDER 7.5 -104
ctx ✓ COL@WSH OVER 8 -112
ctx ✓ CLE@LAA UNDER 7.5 -102
ctx ✓ CHC@ARI UNDER 9 -108
ctx ✗ MIN@ATH UNDER 10.5 -102
ctx ✓ PHI@SEA OVER 6.5 -118
ctx ✗ PIT@SD OVER 7.5 -105
ctx ✗ TEX@CHW UNDER 8 -105
ctx ✗ CIN@SF OVER 7.5 +102
Model propsmodel outputs
H+R+RBI
✗ Ryan Jeffers OVER 1.5 -174
Run Line
ctx ✓ BOS@MIA AWAY 1.5 -340
ctx ✓ TB@DET AWAY 1.5 -310
ctx ✗ COL@WSH AWAY 1.5 -135
ctx ✓ TEX@CHW AWAY 1.5 -185
ctx ✓ CLE@LAA AWAY 1.5 -400
ctx ✓ CHC@ARI AWAY 1.5 -330
ctx ✓ MIN@ATH AWAY 1.5 -360
ctx ✗ PHI@SEA AWAY 1.5 -295
ctx ✓ PIT@SD AWAY 1.5 -280
ctx ✗ CIN@SF AWAY 1.5 -410
Sun Aug 23 Winners 1/1· 1 priced Hitters 30/42+4.7% +2.0u HRR 1/1· 1 priced Day +6.9% +3.0u context Winners 9/12 NRFI 8/12 F5 4/9 Spreads 7/15 Total 7/13
Board leansthe model's most-likely calls — starred pick counts, the rest are logged context
Most Likely Winners
✓ Rangers 64% -154
ctx ✓ D-backs 56% -129
ctx ✓ Cubs 54% -112
ctx ✓ White Sox 60% -102
ctx ✓ Guardians 60% -160
ctx ✗ Tigers 51% -111
ctx ✗ Astros 57% -171
ctx ✓ Dodgers 62% -271
ctx ✗ Brewers 58% -122
ctx ✓ Yankees 58% -126
ctx ✓ Phillies 59% -207
ctx ✓ Padres 56% -135
ctx ✓ Rays 58% -104
Most Likely Hitters★ Best Play
✓ ★ Tommy White 75% -175
✓ ★ Fernando Tatis Jr. 75% -380
✓ ★ Jackson Chourio 75% -250
✓ ★ Keibert Ruiz 69% -182
✓ ★ Kevin McGonigle 66% -215
✓ ★ Yandy Díaz 77% -315
✓ ★ Chandler Simpson 76% -300
✓ ★ Jordan Walker 73% -200
✓ ★ Alec Burleson 73% -182
✗ ★ Josh Bell 68% -190
✓ ★ Luke Keaschall 68% -206
✗ ★ Travis Bazzana 69% -278
✓ ★ Junior Caminero 73% -235
✓ ★ Michael Harris II 73% -200
✓ ★ Brandon Marsh 71% -209
✗ ★ Pete Alonso 72% -253
✗ ★ Jung Hoo Lee 72% -225
✓ ★ Pete Crow-Armstrong 70% -210
✓ ★ Freddie Freeman 69% -280
✗ ★ Alex Bregman 69% -190
✓ ★ Isaac Paredes 71% -225
✓ ★ Zach Neto 66% -204
✗ ★ JJ Bleday 65% -148
✓ ★ Randy Arozarena 68% -195
✗ ★ Nick Gonzales 74% -177
✓ ★ Elly De La Cruz 74% -235
✓ ★ Sal Stewart 73% -260
✓ ★ William Contreras 71% -220
✓ ★ Bryce Harper 68% -225
✓ ★ Jo Adell 69% -370
✗ ★ Ty France 69% -210
✓ ★ Jake McCarthy 69% -350
✓ ★ Mauricio Dubón 68% -174
✓ ★ Brandon Lowe 69% +105
✗ ★ Brett Bateman 67% -190
✓ ★ Bobby Witt Jr. 66% -270
✗ ★ Shohei Ohtani 68% -290
✓ ★ Nico Hoerner 70% -210
✓ ★ Carlos Cortes 65% -164
✗ ★ Bo Bichette 65% -254
✗ ★ Ryan Waldschmidt 65% -156
✓ ★ Andrew Vaughn 65% -200
Game totalsfirst-inning, first-5 & full-game run totals
NRFI
ctx ✗ ATH@HOU NRFI 53% -110
ctx ✓ ATL@MIL NRFI 50% -140
ctx ✓ CHC@SEA YRFI 50% +105
ctx ✓ CIN@ARI NRFI 51% -105
ctx ✓ CLE@COL YRFI 53% -150
ctx ✗ LAA@TEX YRFI 52% -105
ctx ✓ MIN@SD NRFI 51% -115
ctx ✓ NYM@CHW NRFI 55% -125
ctx ✗ PIT@LAD NRFI 56% -110
ctx ✗ STL@PHI NRFI 53% -135
ctx ✓ TB@BAL NRFI 51% -115
ctx ✓ TOR@NYY NRFI 54% -135
F5 O/U
ctx ✓ ATL@MIL UNDER 4.5 -148
ctx ✗ CIN@ARI OVER 4.5 -110
ctx ✗ DET@KC UNDER 4.5 -105
ctx ✗ LAA@TEX UNDER 4.5 -118
ctx ✗ MIN@SD OVER 4.5 -110
ctx ✓ NYM@CHW UNDER 4.5 -130
ctx ✓ PIT@LAD UNDER 4.5 +105
ctx ✗ TB@BAL OVER 4.5 -125
ctx ✓ TOR@NYY UNDER 4.5 -105
Game O/U
ctx ✗ STL@PHI UNDER 8 -105
ctx ✓ TB@BAL UNDER 9 -114
ctx ✗ TOR@NYY UNDER 7.5 +102
ctx ✗ ATH@HOU UNDER 9 -118
ctx ✓ NYM@CHW UNDER 8.5 -124
ctx ✗ LAA@TEX UNDER 7.5 +100
ctx ✓ CLE@COL UNDER 11.5 -118
ctx ✓ CHC@SEA OVER 7.5 -105
ctx ✓ MIN@SD OVER 8.5 -122
ctx ✓ PIT@LAD UNDER 8.5 -105
ctx ✓ CIN@ARI UNDER 9 -110
ctx ✗ ATL@MIL OVER 7.5 -110
ctx ✗ DET@KC UNDER 8.5 -105
Model propsmodel outputs
H+R+RBI
✓ Jo Adell OVER 1.5 -232
Run Line
ctx ✗ STL@PHI AWAY 1.5 -110
ctx ✗ TOR@NYY AWAY 1.5 -182
ctx ✗ WSH@MIA AWAY 1.5 -152
ctx ✓ ATH@HOU AWAY 1.5 -130
ctx ✗ LAA@TEX AWAY 1.5 -150
ctx ✓ SF@BOS AWAY 1.5 -118
ctx ✗ MIN@SD AWAY 1.5 -170
ctx ✗ PIT@LAD AWAY 1.5 +110
ctx ✗ CIN@ARI AWAY 1.5 -172
ctx ✓ ATL@MIL AWAY 1.5 -195
ctx ✓ TB@BAL AWAY 1.5 -220
ctx ✗ DET@KC AWAY 1.5 -265
ctx ✓ NYM@CHW AWAY 1.5 -265
ctx ✓ CLE@COL AWAY 1.5 -350
ctx ✓ CHC@SEA AWAY 1.5 -250